Page 8 - MEOG Week 39
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MEOG                                   PIPELINES & TRANSPORT                                           MEOG


       Venezuela and Iran take the next step





        IRAN             VENEZUELA’S oil industry has deteriorated  main grade of crude exported from Venezuela.
                         significantly since January 2019, when the US   The oil will probably be exported to Asia,
                         government imposed sanctions on PdVSA,  which has become the main destination for
                         the national oil company (NOC). The signs of  Venezuelan production, the news agency said.
                         decline have been obvious – falling production  It did not name any possible buyers, but it did
                         levels, reduced refinery throughput and wide-  note that most crude traders would be reluctant
                         spread fuel shortages.               to buy Venezuelan product because of the risk of
                           Nevertheless, Venezuela’s government has  being penalised under the US sanctions regime.
                         remained defiant, declaring its unwillingness to
                         give in to the US campaign to topple the socialist  Stepping up enforcement?
                         government of President Nicolas Maduro. It has  As of press time, the US government had not
                         also turned to Iran, which is also under US sanc-  reacted publicly to news of the Iranian-aided
                         tions, for help. That help has taken various forms,  shipment of Venezuelan crude. Washington may
                         including but not limited to shipments of Iranian  take a different stance if Caracas tries this tactic
                         fuel to Venezuela by tanker and deliveries of Ira-  again, though. More specifically, it will probably
                         nian refinery parts and equipment to Venezuela  step up enforcement of the sanctions regime if
                         by plane. Within the last week, though, the par-  it sees that Venezuela’s government is trying to
                         ties have expanded the range of joint activities to  open up a new export route for its oil.
                         include Iranian-assisted exports of Venezuelan   If so, some of the US actions will probably
                         crude oil. If they continue to do so, the US gov-  target the shipping sector. There is precedent for
                         ernment is likely to react.          this, as Washington has already applied sanc-
                                                              tions to Russian companies accused of acting as
                         Three fleets                         middlemen for Venezuelan exports (and has also
                         Iran has sent three tanker fleets to Venezuela  signalled its willingness to penalise marine oper-
                         so far this year, according to press reports. The  ators that do business with Caracas).
                         first fleet consisted of five vessels, all filled with   But there may also be more seizures. That
                         Iranian gasoline. These ships arrived at a Ven-  is, the US may opt to confiscate the cargo of the
                         ezuelan port in late May and early June and  next fleet that attempts to bring refined fuels or
                         succeeded in discharging their cargo. They then  similar materials from Iran to Venezuela – and it
                         departed the South American country and went  may do so after putting more pressure on ship-
                         on to their next assignment.         ping companies and marine facilities to help
                           The second fleet consisted of four ships.  thwart efforts by Tehran and Caracas to con-
                         Again, all were loaded with Iranian gasoline.  ceal such shipments through the disabling of
                         These vessels never arrived in Venezuela;  transponders.
                         instead, they were confiscated by US officials at
                         sea in mid-August and redirected to a US port.  Ongoing struggle
                         Information posted on shipping traffic websites  In the meantime, fuel supply issues will continue
                         indicates that all four have unloaded their car-  to loom large in Venezuela. The country has
                         goes and moved on to their next assignments.  bought some time with the latest Iranian ship-
                           The third fleet consisted of three ships. All of  ments, but it is still struggling in the face of the
                         these were initially said to be loaded with Ira-  challenges posed by the sanctions.
                         nian gasoline, but Bloomberg and other agencies   That struggle, according to Bloomberg, has
                         reported earlier this week that the vessels were  led to something like industrial cannibalism.
                         actually carrying gas condensate, a light hydro-  That is, it has driven PdVSA to strip scrap metal
                         carbon that can easily be refined into gasoline. In  and parts from production, processing and
                         any event, they did arrive in Venezuela last week  refining facilities that have been taken offline.
                         and delivered their cargoes to PdVSA for domes-  The NOC reportedly hopes to use these mate-
                         tic consumption.                     rials to pay in kind for repair work at pumping
                                                              stations and compressor units that serve produc-
                         Third time’s the charm               tion facilities in Monagas. This state, located in
                         The ships of the first and second fleets appear to  eastern Venezuela, is home to deposits of light
                         have had no involvement in two-way trade. That  crude oil that can be refined more easily than the
                         is, they may have been loaded with Iranian gaso-  extra-heavy grades from the Orinoco belt.
                         line for delivery to Venezuela, but they were not   As of press time, Venezuelan authorities had
                         loaded back up again after discharging their car-  not said whether any potential partners had
                         goes in the South American state or in a US port.  shown interest in the scrap metal and parts.
                           At least one of the third fleet’s vessels,   This is not the first time Caracas has tried to
                         by contrast, has filled up for the return trip.  pay in kind for refinery and production equip-
                         Bloomberg reported on September 23 that the  ment repairs. Venezuelan officials recently tried
                         Iranian-flagged tanker, known as the Horse (and  – and failed – to convince suppliers to accept
                         sometimes as the Honey), had been loaded up  crude oil and fuel as compensation for $800mn
                         with Merey-16, an extra-heavy blend that is the  worth of maintenance work and fixes.™



       P8                                       www. NEWSBASE .com                      Week 39   30•September•2020
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