Page 42 - Proceeding of Atrans Young Researcher's Forum 2019_Neat
P. 42

“Transportation for A Better Life:
                                                                                                                       Smart Mobility for Now and Then”

                                                                                    23 August 2019, Bangkok, Thailand

                                  MC                              1
                110
                                                                 0.9
                100                                              0.8
                90                                               0.7
               Speed (Kph)  70                          Stop    Propapability of stopping  0.6           MC
                80
                                                        Go
                                                                 0.5
                60
                50
                40                                               0.4                                     PC
                                                                 0.3
                30                                               0.2
                20
                  0  10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150  0.1
                           Distance from stopping line (m)        0  0  1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  10  11  12  13
                                                                            Travel time to stopping line (s)
               Fig. 4 The motorcyclist stop/go decision at the
                           onset of yellow light               Fig.6 Probability of stopping in term travel time to
                                                                               stopping line
               Table 3 Descriptive statistic for driver behavior
                                        PC         MC
                     statistic                                       Table 2 shows the indecision zone boundary
                                    Stop    Go   Stop    Go
              N                      339   254   108   123    of this intersection. PC indecision zone is 29-89 m.
              Distance from   Mean   95.8   33.8  100.7  42.5   from stopping line and 1.75-4.75 s to stopping line
              stopping line (m)   S.D.   29.2   24.1   27.4   28.1   (Bao et al.2018 is 1.4-4.3 at speed limit 60 kph and
                              Mean   62.2   69.6   55.9   64.4   countdown  timer  signal  with  monitoring  device).
              Speed (Kph)
                              S.D.   11.5   14.2   11.7   14.6   MC indecision zone is 40-109 m from stopping line
                              Mean   5.7   1.8   6.8   2.4    and  2.2-6.6  s  to  stopping  line.  To  compare  the
              Travel time (s)
                              S.D.   1.9   1.2   2.4   1.6    indecision zone of the two-vehicle type, it could be
                                                              found that the indecision zone of the passenger car is
             3.2 Indecision zone boundary                     nearer to the intersection stop line than those of the
                    From  the  developed  binary  logistic    motorcyclist for both in terms of distances and travel
             regression model  as shown in Eq.  1  to Eq. 4,  the   time. They also have smaller indecision zone sizes
             probability of stopping in term distance and travel   than those of the motorcyclist. The findings reveal
             time to stopping line is presented as shown in Fig.5   comparative  higher  risk  exposure  of  the
             and Fig.6, respectively.                         motorcyclists in intersection crashes when they are
                                                              running mixed with other traffic.
             P(stop,pc)= - 4.308 + 0.074*distance            (1)
             P(stop,mc)= - 4.634 + 0.063*distance           (2)    Table 2 Boundary of the indecision zone
                                                                                    PC (N=593)   MC (N=231)
                 1                                                                 B*  E*  Size  B*  E*  Size
                0.9                                             Distance from stopping   89   29   60  109  40   69
               Propapability of stopping  0.7          MC     *B is a position begin the indecision zone, E is a position
                0.8
                                                                line (m)
                                                                Travel time to stopping
                0.6
                                                                                   4.75  1.75  3
                                                                                                6.60  2.20  4.30
                                                                line (s)
                0.5
                                                       PC
                0.4
                                                              ending the indecision zone
                0.3
                0.2
                0.1                                             3.3 Effect of vehicle type on driver response
                 0                                                   From  the  developed  binary  logistic
                  0  10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150
                           Distance from stopping line (m)    regression model as shown in Table 4, distance from

                                                              the  stopping  line,  speed,  and  vehicle  types  show
              Fig.5 Probability of stopping in term distance from   significant  effects  to  driver  stop/go  decision  as
                              stopping line                   expected.

             P(stop,pc)= -4.744 + 1.471*traveltime          (3)
             P(stop,mc)= - 4.489 + 1.009*traveltime        (4)




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