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20: Cash-flow forecasting and working capital




                                               Delaying the purchase of the delivery vehicle improves the cash flow by removing

                                               the negative cash balance in February. If the business cannot delay the purchase of
                                               the delivery van by one month it has two options:

                                               ■  Use another source of finance for the purchase of the van, for example hire
                                                  purchase, leasing or a bank loan.
                                               ■  As the cash shortage is forecast to be very short-term, then the business may
                                                  arrange an overdraft with the bank to cover the shortfall.

                                               ■  Both of these options are more costly than delaying the purchase of the vehicle
                                                  until March.


                ACTIVITY 20.2

                The following cash-flow forecast has been produced by the Finance Manager of Lucky Charm Jewellers (LCJ).


                                                    Jan     Feb      Mar     Apr      May     Jun
                              Cash inflow
                              Receipts               12       14       14      18       26      29

                              Total inflow           12       14       14      18       26      27
                              Cash outflows
                              Payments               16       18       18      20       20      22

                              Total outflow          16       18       18      20       20      22                         261
                              Net cash flow         (−4)     (−4)    (−4)     (−2)
                              Opening balance        10        6        2     (−2)

                              Closing balance         6        2     (−2)     (−4)

                1  Calculate the closing balance for both May and June.
                2  Comment on the forecast cash flow for LCJ between January and June.
                3  How could the Finance Manager use the cash-flow forecast to better manage LCJ’s cash flow?




                                               Interpreting cash-flow statements
                 Hire purchase, leasing, bank   Remember, the most important line on any cash-flow statement is the one

                 loan:  see Chapter19, page 252.  containing the ‘closing balance’. If a business’s cash position is forecast to become
                                               negative for a short period of time, management might decide to fi nance this
                                               with an overdraft. However, overdrafts can be a very expensive source of fi nance.


                                               Before deciding to use an overdraft, management should consider ways of

                 Overdraft :  see Chapter 19,   removing or reducing the cash shortage. Even if they only reduce the size of the
                 page 251.                     forecast cash shortage, this will at least reduce the size and cost of any required
                                               overdraft .
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