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20: Cash-flow forecasting and working capital




             CASE STUDY  Metrorail






                                           Cash Flow Problems at Metrorail
                                    East Rand-based  Sinqobile  about 80 are mounted. So far we
                                    Equestrian Security Services  have managed to feed the horses
                                    was forced to take Metrorail to  and  pay  the  guards,’ Sinqobile
                                    court to try to recover money it  director Andries de  Klerk  told
                                    was owed. It lost the case, but  the paper.
                                    the company  has  since man-   Metrorail  fi  nancial  manager  is
                                    aged to recoup R1.5m and has   quoted as saying that  ‘supplier
                                     been promised the  balance    payments were  being  delayed
                                     ‘soon’.                       due to Metrorail experiencing
                                     ‘We supply about 450 security  cash fl  ow  challenges in meeting
                                     guards to Metrorail, of  which  its fi  nancial obligations’.



                                                     Source: Adapted from www.railwaysafrica.com/blog/2010/02/
                                                                          cashfl ow-problems-at-metrorail



                  TASK
                  a  What is meant by ‘cash flow’?
                                                                                                                           263
                  b  How has the cash-flow problem at Metrorail aff ected Sinqobile?
                  c  Why might the cash-flow problem be worse for Sinqobile than it is for Metrorail?
                  d  How might Sinqobile overcome its cash-flow problem?





                                               Working capital

                                               All businesses must have enough finance to pay for their day-to-day expenses such

                 Liquidity:  see Chapter 23,   as paying workers’ wages and buying raw materials. Many businesses off er their
                 page 288.                     customers credit terms, so they must also be able to finance the level of credit given

                                               to these customers.
                                                  Working capital measures the liquidity of a business. Liquidity is the
                 KEY TERM                      ability of a business to pay its short-term debts. A business which does not
                                               have enough working capital will be illiquid. That means it cannot pay its
                 Liquidity:  the ability of a
                                               short-term debts. If this happens the business may have to borrow the finance
                 business to pay its short-term
                 debts.                        required. It will have to pay interest on the amount borrowed and this increases
                                               the business’s costs. However, if the business is unable to borrow the finance
                                               required then it may fail.

                                                  The amount of working capital needed by a business depends on the
                                               time it takes from buying raw materials, making these into goods for sale,
                                               finding buyers for the finished goods and then receiving payment from



                                               customers. The relationship between these is known as the working
                                               capital cycle.
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