Page 38 - Technology Roadmap Transportation

TECHNOLOGY VISION 2035

FIG 1.9 MODAL SHARE IN DIFFERENT CLASSES OF INDIAN CITIES[11]

100 10
90 9

80 8
7
70
MODAL SHARE (%) 60 6 AVERAGE TRIP LENGTH (km) MOTORISED (PVT)

5
50
4
40
30
2
20 3 MOTORISED (PT+IPT)
WALK
10 1 CYCLE
0 0 AVG TRIP LENGTH (km)
<0.5 MILLION <0.5 MILLION 0.5 -1.0 MILLION >1.0 MILLION
(HILLY TERRAIN) (PLAIN TERRAIN)

Urban population in India will reach to 40% uniform access to these modes of transport.
of the total population by 2030 from 30% Motor vehicle penetration per 1000 person
at present, fuelling the demand for explosive is very low by international standards. In
growth on 2-wheelers and passenger cars addition, only ~10% of Indian households own
segments. It is estimated that the number of a motorcycle. Public transport still remains the
vehicles will increase to about 600 million primary mode of transport for large section
by 2030[12]. Therefore the demand for of population, and India’s public transport
road infrastructure and urban road network systems remains amongst the most heavily
planning also needs to be proportionally used transport systems in the world. Despite
increased. In contrast to personalized mode, on-going improvements in the sector in last
the share of buses in total registered vehicles few decades, several aspects of the transport
has declined from 11.1% in 1951 to a mere sector are still riddled with problems due
1.3% in 2009, although the absolute numbers to lack of investment in less economically
have increased phenomenally. Similarly, the active regions of the country. The demand for
share of goods vehicles, which stands at 5.3%, transport infrastructure and services has been
has shrunk since 1951. The erosion in % share galloping at a rate of ~10% per year however
of buses in the vehicle population to ~1.3% the current infrastructure and investments are
reflects relatively slower growth in public unable to meet these demands. According
passenger bus transport services and the to recent estimates by Goldman Sachs, India
public transport systems in Indian cities. would require to spend US$ 1.7 trillion on
road network related infrastructure projects
1.4 HISTORY AND EVOLUTION OF over the next decade to boost economic
INDIAN TRANSPORTATION SECTOR growth. Although the number of vehicles are
Transport sector in India is an important and increasing continuously but the increment in
integral part of national economy. Since the motorization index is still lower compared to
economic liberalization of India in 1990’s, other countries. Possible reason for this may
development of transport infrastructure has be relatively faster growth in Indian population.
progressed at a rapid pace. Today, there is a Comparison of total vehicle and motorization
wide variety of modes of transport by land, index for China, ASEAN countries with India is
water and air. However, India’s relatively low shown in figure 1.10
GDP per capita has transformed into non-

36 ROADWAYS