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             India’s high-potential human capital: continuous low priority

             million — on foot and private transport (because all pub-  ment’s fiscal deficit has rocketed from the budgeted 3.5
             lic transportation was discontinued from the midnight of   percent of GDP to an unprecedented 9.5 percent of GDP
             March 24) since the partition of British-ruled India into the   (gross domestic product) estimated at Rs.195.86 lakh crore
             independent nations of India and Pakistan in 1947.   cf. the budgeted Rs.224.89 lakh crore.
                Against this backdrop of national turmoil, a major un-  In this connection, it’s pertinent to note that the Fiscal
             der-stated casualty are 21st century India’s 500 million   Responsibility and Budget Management (FRBM) Act, 2003
             youngest citizens in the 0-24 age group — the world’s larg-  requires the Union government to ensure its fiscal deficit
             est national cohort of children and youth. The total outlay   in any financial year does not exceed 3.5 percent of GDP,
             of the Central government for public education budgeted   although  it  allows  exceptions  in  special  circumstances.
             at Rs.93,224 crore for 2021-22 is 6.13 percent less than the   This legislation piloted by former Union finance minis-
             Rs.99,312 crore budgeted for 2020-21. And the consensus   ter Yashwant Sinha to compel the Central government to
             within the academic community is that Budget 2021-22 has   maintain macro-economic stability and contain inflation, is
             comprehensively ignored the National Education Policy   self-explanatory. If government borrows unlimitedly from
             (NEP) 2020, the outcome of hard slog of two high-powered   the Reserve Bank of India — i.e, prints bank notes without
             committees — T.S.R. Subramanian (2016) and Dr. K. Kas-  commensurate increase in the output of goods and services
             turirangan (2018) — which was promulgated with much   — too much money will start chasing too few goods and
             fanfare on July 29 last year.                     result in runaway inflation which, it is commonly accepted,
                Inevitably, the comprehensive lockdown of business,   hits the poor at the bottom of the socio-economic pyramid
             industry and commerce for almost half the financial year   hardest. However, the exceptional circumstances latitude
             2020-21 has turned government tax revenue projections   has given a wide loophole to government. Since it was en-
             topsy-turvy. The Centre’s direct and indirect tax revenue   acted almost two decades ago, the FRBM Act ceiling has not
             has  plunged  from  the  budgeted  Rs.20.20  lakh  crore  to   been respected in spirit by any government at the Centre
             Rs.15.55 lakh crore (revised estimate) in the year ending   with considerable expenditure being made ‘off-budget’.
             March 31, 2021. As a result, borrowings in 2020-21 have   But with the Covid-19 mayhem and resultant lockdown
             ballooned from the budgeted Rs.7.96 lakh crore to more   causing the economy to contract by 8 percent — the worst
             than double at Rs.18.48 lakh crore, and the Union govern-  recession in the history of post-independence India — and a

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