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        Fig. 3. Learning correlates with an increase  Example Target 1 Behavior     Fine-timescale Variance
        in covariance of the neurons that produce                    5               Preceding Target 1 Hit
                                                Illustration using 2 neurons  10 19 kHz
        the target pattern. (A) The decoder maps                                     Illustration using 2 neurons
        spike counts in 500-ms bins into quantizations              Target 1  Target 2
                                                          T1 Hit
        of (ensemble 1, ensemble 2) space. Neural  Example Trial                     Trial 1  T1 Hit
        activity can take multiple routes to achieve                                              %tile:
                                                                                                  90th
        target 1. (B) Analysis of variance of spike  E1 Neuron  90th             E1 Neuron
        counts with 100-ms bins in a 3-s window               E2 Neuron FR %tile:  E2 Neuron  Trial N  E2 Neuron FR  50th
                                                               50th
        preceding target hit. “x” indicates a spike  E2 Neuron  10th                              10th
        count vector at one time point. (C) Factor     Bin Width
                                                 Time
        analysis was used to analyze the ratio of      = 500ms   %tile:  10th 50th 90th  Bin Width   Win Width  %tile:  10th 50th 90th
        shared variance to total variance (SOT),                    E1 Neuron FR  = 100ms   = 3s       E1 Neuron FR
        which ranges from 0 to 1, for the full
        population controlling the BMI. A two-neuron                      Covariance Index:
        illustration shows a neural solution with  -               Balance of Shared-to-Total Variance (SOT)  +
        SOT = 0, 0.6, and 1. (D) Correlation of  0                                                         1
        change in shared variance before target
        1 hit (neural covariance gain) with change
        in preference for target 1 over target    private variance   total variance = private + shared  shared variance
        2 (learning), over sessions 2, 3, and 4. ChR2
        animals (left) showed a significant         private  SOT = 0            SOT = 0.6              SOT = 1
        correlation [ChR2 S4: correlation coefficient  2
                        –3
        (r) = 0.86, P =6.1 ×10 ; ChR2 pool S3, S4:  Neuron 2 FR  private                                 shared
                      –3
        r =0.71, P =1.0 × 10 ; ChR2 pool S2, S3, S4:          1                                  shared  1
                       –4
        r =0.62, P =9.8 ×10 ;ChR2 S3: r =0.60,                                                   2                  Downloaded from
                 –2
        P =6.5 ×10 ; ChR2 S2: r = 0.62, P = 1.3
           –1
        ×10 ], whereas YFP animals (right)                                                        shared space
        showed no correlation (YFP pool S2, S3,      Neuron 1 FR         Neuron 1 FR             Neuron 1 FR
                              –1
        S4: r = –0.14, n.s. P =6.4 × 10 ; YFP
                           –1
        S4: r = –0.32, P =6.0 ×10 ; YFP S3:       4  ChR2                           YFP
                        –1
        r = –0.69, P = 5.1 × 10 ; YFP S2: r =0.37,     S2                        4    S2
                 –1
        P =5.4 ×10 ). n.s., not significant.      3    S3                        3    S3
                                                                                      S4
                                                       S4
        (E) SOT of direct and indirect neurons over  2                           2                                  http://science.sciencemag.org/
        sessions for ChR2 learners (left, n = 5),
        ChR2 poor learners (middle, n = 5), and YFP  Learning (Preference Gain T1 vs T2)  1  1
        subjects (right, n = 5). ChR2 learners individually  0                   0
        showed significant preference gain for target
        1 versus target 2 in both sessions 3 and 4.  -1                          -1
        ChR2 poor learners constitute the remaining  -2           S4: r = 0.86, p = 6.1e-3  -2
        animals who as a population showed significant  -3        pool: r = 0.62, p = 1.0e-3  pool: r = -0.14, n.s. p = 6.4e-1
        target 1 occupancy gain on sessions 3 and 4. For                         -3
                                                   -2  -1   0   1    2   3    4   -2  -1   0    1   2    3   4
        direct neurons, ChR2 animals’ and ChR2                                                                      on March 1, 2018
        learners’ SOT increased from early (sessions   Neural Covariance Gain (log2)  Neural Covariance Gain (log2)
        1 and 2 pooled) to late training (sessions 3 and
        4 pooled), whereas ChR2 poor learners and YFP
                                                     Learners ChR2 (n = 5)  Poor Learners ChR2 (n = 5)  YFP (n = 5)
        did not (one-sided rank sum test; ChR2, early <
                    –2
        late, P =1.7 × 10 ; ChR2 learners, early < late,  direct  indirect   direct  indirect      direct  indirect
                 –2
        P =1.6 × 10 ; ChR2 poor learners, early < late,  0.5  *         0.5                   0.5
                    –1
        n.s. P =2.1 ×10 ; YFP, early < late, n.s. P =8.3  SOT             SOT                   SOT
            –1
        ×10 ). For indirect neurons, SOT showed no
        change for all groups (ChR2 learners: early <  0.5  0             0                     0
                        –1
        late, n.s. P =4.3 ×10 ; ChR poor learners,  0.4  early late  early late  early late  early late  early late  early late
                            –1
        early < late, n.s. P =2.7 ×10 ; YFP, early < late,
                   –1
        n.s. P =7.1 × 10 ). Traces in the insets show the  0.3
        average of each animal’s SOT in sessions 1 and  SOT
        2 (early) versus the average of sessions 3 and  0.2
        4 (late). Error bars indicate mean ± SEM. The  0.1
        asterisk indicates that the population average  0
        is significantly larger than the baseline    1   2   3  4          1  2   3   4         1   2   3   4
        bootstrap distribution.
                                                        Session               Session               Session
        shared inputs to direct neurons and thus increase  (private variance), and shared inputs, which drive  target 1 (Fig. 3A). We analyzed fine–time scale
        covariance over learning (13). We used factor  multiple cells simultaneously (shared variance).  spike counts (100-ms bins) in a 3-s window pre-
        analysis (FA) to partition fine–time scale neural  Neural variance changes were not demanded by  ceding target hit (Fig. 3B). FA models popula-
        variance arising from two sources: private inputs  our task, as subjects could use neural activity  tion spike counts x = m + x private  + x shared  as the
        to each cell, which drive independent firing  drawn from any distribution to ultimately hit  sum of a mean firing rate m;private variation
        Athalye et al., Science 359, 1024–1029 (2018)  2 March 2018                                         4of6
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