Page 41 - Eden Meadow 35 houses application as of 12 October
P. 41

LAND TO THE REAR OF EDEN MEADOWS, NEWINGTON

                                                                     AIR QUALITY ASSESSMENT



                        Model Adjustment

               5.8      In  order  to  undertake  model  adjustment,  it  is  first  necessary  to  derive  the  monitored  and

                        modelled road contributions of NOx (excluding background).  The modelled road contribution
                        NOx is taken directly from the ADMS-Roads output before it has been converted to NO2 using
                        the NOx to NO2 calculator described in Section 4.18.  The NOx to NO2 calculator can also be
                        used  to  derive  monitored  road  contributions  of  NOx  from  NO2  diffusion  tube  results.  A
                        summary of these calculations is provided in Table 13.


                        Table 13 – Monitored NOx and NO2 concentrations, 2019
                                                  Monitored    Monitored   Modelled road   Ratio of monitored
                                       Defra        road         road                      road contribution
                         Monitored                                          contribution
                 Site ID            Background   contribution   contribution                NOx / modelled
                          Total NO2                                        NOx (excludes
                                        NO2      NO2 (total –   NOx (total –   background)   road contribution
                                                 background)  background)                       NOx
                                                         Newington
                  ZW6       26.8        12.9         13.9         27.4          12.3             2.2
                 SW66       33.7        12.9         20.8         42.4          23.4             1.8
                 SW35       42.5        12.9         29.6         63.0          34.7             1.8

                 SW42       43.9        12.9         31.0         66.4          34.9             1.9
                 SW19       36.8        12.9         23.9         49.4          23.8             2.1
                 SW20       26.0        12.9         13.1         25.7          13.2             1.9
                                                         Keycol Hill
                 SW121      42.7        15.3         27.4         58.3          9.8              5.9
                 SW124      52.3        15.3         37.0         82.6          18.9             4.4

                                         Average Ratio (Keycol Hill)                             5.2
                                                         Rainham
                 DT01       39.3        15.0         24.3         50.9          19.4             2.6
                 DT16       24.2        15.0         9.2          17.9          6.9              2.6
                                          Average Ratio (Rainham)                                2.6


               5.9      Once the monitored and modelled road contributions of NOx (excluding background) have
                        been derived the contributions of NOx are compared using a linear regression.  This is shown
                        in Figure 9 and has been calculated based on the Newington data only.  The gradient of this

                        line is 1.9042 and is used to adjust the modelled road contribution of NOx.  This is shown in
                        Table 14.  For Rainham and Keycol Hill, the adjustment factor is calculated based on the
                        average ratio as there are insufficient locations to undertake a linear regression.








                       Lustre Consulting Ltd
                       Report Ref.: 3143/MD/07/2020                                          Page No. 35
   36   37   38   39   40   41   42   43   44   45   46