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BUSINESS                 Monday 21 august 2017
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            Better than expected, barely good enough: Profits and stocks


                                                                                                   least a decade.              One of the main ways ana-
                                                                                                   When  a  company  has  lysts use to measure wheth-
                                                                                                   reported    better-than-ex-  er  stocks  are  expensive  is
                                                                                                   pected earnings but fallen  to  compare  their  price  to
                                                                                                   short  of  forecasts  for  rev-  corporate  profits.  The  S&P
                                                                                                   enue, its stock has tended  500  is  now  trading  at  20.7
                                                                                                   to  do  worse  than  the  rest  times  how  much  its  com-
                                                                                                   of  the  S&P  500,  according  panies  have  earned  over
                                                                                                   to  BlackRock.  And  when  the last 12 months, accord-
                                                                                                   a  company  has  missed  ing to FactSet. That’s more
                                                                                                   on  both  measures?  Much  expensive  than  its  median
                                                                                                   worse.  At  first  blush,  such  price-earnings ratio of 15.6
                                                                                                   a  reaction  may  be  surpris-  over the last decade.
                                                                                                   ing. Stock prices can move  Now  that  strong  profit
                                                                                                   up  and  down  for  many  growth has returned, it may
                                                                                                   reasons  in  the  short  term:  be mere validation for the
                                                                                                   whatever  the  president  is  gains  S&P  500  index  funds
                                                                                                   tweeting about, what cen-    have  already  made.  And
                                                                                                   tral  banks  in  far-flung  cor-  if  corporate  profits  contin-
                                                                                                   ners of the world are doing  ue to rise faster than stock
                                                                                                   or the latest change some  prices,  they’ll  look  less  ex-
                                                                                                   hedge  fund  has  made  to  pensive.
             An American flag flies over a Home Depot store location, in Bellingham, Mass. The retailer made
             more in profit from May through July 2017 than any other quarter in its history, and its 14 percent   its  trading  algorithm.  But  With  the  Federal  Reserve
             rise in earnings per share was stronger than analysts expected. Home Depot at the same time   over  the  long  term,  stock  raising interest rates, many
             raised its profit forecast for 2017 and reported higher revenue than Wall Street forecast. Even still,  prices tend to track close-  analysts  expect  the  mar-
             Home Depot’s stock slid 2.7 percent after the report.                                 ly  with  corporate  profits.  ket’s  price-earnings  ratio
                                                                           (AP Photo/Steven Senne)  When companies are mak-     to creep lower from its lofty
            By STAN CHOE                 lined  up  to  report  how   companies  have  typically  ing  more  money,  investors  heights. At the least, many
            AP Business Writer           much  they  earned  during   done    1.14   percentage  are willing to pay more for  are  telling  investors  to  ex-
            NEW  YORK  (AP)  —  Here’s  the  spring.  Companies  in   points better than the S&P  each of their shares.         pect  the  stock  market  to
            how  much  hope  and  ex-    the  Standard  &  Poor’s  500   500 the day following its re-  This  time  may  be  different  rise  no  faster  than  corpo-
            pectation  has  been  built  index  are  on  pace  to  re-  lease,  according  to  Gold-  because  stock  prices  had  rate earnings.
            into  the  stock  market:  Big  port  one  of  their  strongest   man  Sachs.  But  through  already  climbed  so  much  The good news is that Wall
            companies  are  healthy  quarters  in  years.  Earnings   mid-August of this reporting  in  anticipation  of  higher  Street  is  expecting  profit
            and  making  fatter  profits  per  share  were  likely  up   season,  the  performance  profits  ahead.  Even  when  growth  to  continue  in  the
            than Wall Street expected,  more than 10 percent from     edge has been virtually nil  profits were falling early last  second  half  of  this  year,
            yet  it’s  barely  enough  to  a  year  earlier,  better  than   at 0.03 percentage points.  year, the S&P 500 index was  though maybe at a slower
            keep  the  market  from  fall-  the 7 percent that analysts   That’s the lowest level in at  still holding steady or rising.  rate.q
            ing. Consider Home Depot,  had  penciled  in  when  the
            which  gave  an  earnings  quarter  ended,  according
            report on Tuesday that was  to  FactSet.  Despite  those
            seemingly fantastic. The re-  gains, S&P 500 index funds
            tailer  made  more  in  profit  are  nearly  exactly  where
            from May through July than  they were before the heart
            any other quarter in its his-  of  earnings  reporting  sea-
            tory, and its 14 percent rise  son began in mid-July.
            in  earnings  per  share  was  “Equity   markets   have
            stronger  than  analysts  ex-  greeted  positive  earnings
            pected.  Home  Depot  at  reports largely with indiffer-
            the  same  time  raised  its  ence,” strategists at Black-
            profit  forecast  for  this  year  Rock wrote in a recent re-
            and  reported  higher  rev-  port.  “Investor  sentiment
            enue than Wall Street fore-  shows more signs of fatigue
            cast, all of which should be  than  euphoria,  even  as
            kibble  for  investors  raven-  stock markets have repeat-
            ously  looking  for  growth.  edly  reached  new  heights
            Even  still,  Home  Depot’s  this year.”
            stock slid 2.7 percent after  Usually,  when  a  company
            the report.                  reports better earnings than
            That  reaction  hasn’t  been  analysts expected, it sends
            too  far  off  the  norm  re-  the  stock  higher,  at  least
            cently, as companies have  for a day. Since 2006, such
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