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WORLD NEWSThursday 17 September                                                                                                                                      group: millions

Eurozone inflation revised down to 0.1 percent                                                                                                                        will lose jobs 

PAN PYLAS                        economic activity a boost.         As part of that stimulus,     The news from Eurostat                                             SAO PAULO (AP) — Millions
Associated Press                 Longer-term deflation en-          the ECB is pumping 60 bil-    prompted some weak-                                                of workers will lose their jobs
LONDON (AP) — Inflation          courages people to put off         lion euros a month in newly   ness in the euro as traders                                        this year because of the
across the 19-country euro-      spending and can prove             printed money into the eu-    priced in a growing expec-                                         recession that has hit Latin
zone was revised down to         difficult to reverse because       rozone economy by buying      tation of further stimulus —                                       America’s biggest nation,
0.1 percent in the year to       it requires altering people’s      government and corporate      the new money created                                              a Brazilian industry federa-
August, in a development         expectations. It can lead          bonds. The program is slat-   by the ECB can weigh on                                            tion said Wednesday.
that’s likely to renew con-      to years of economic stag-         ed to run at least through    the currency by diluting its                                       The Rio de Janeiro State
cern that the region could                                                                                                                                           Federation of Industries
see another bout of falling      People walk past a shop called: ‘Cheap City’, selling discounted merchandise in central Athens.                                     Wednesday said a job
prices and prompt more           Inflation across the 19-country eurozone was revised down to 0.1 percent in the year to August,                                     market analysis it recently
stimulus measures from the       in a development that’s likely to renew concern that the region could see another bout of falling                                   conducted shows that be-
European Central Bank.           prices and prompt more stimulus measures from the European Central Bank.                                                            tween 1.2 million and 1.6
Figures released Wednes-                                                                                                                                             million jobs will be lost in
day by the European                                                                                                                   (AP Photo/Lefteris Pitarakis)  2015 — the worst contrac-
Union’s statistics agency                                                                                                                                            tion in 17 years.
showed that the revision         nation, as in Japan over           September 2016 and is in-     value. The euro was trad-                                          Previously, the worst figures
in consumer price inflation      the past two decades, or           tended to help get inflation  ing 0.4 percent lower at                                           had been registered in
from the initial estimate of     at worst, into something           back to target. ECB Presi-    $1.1230.                                                           1998 when Brazil lost nearly
0.2 percent was largely due      more pernicious, such as           dent Mario Draghi hinted      “The chance of further                                             580,000 formal jobs.
to a sharp drop in energy        the Great Depression of the        this month that the bank is   stimulus from the ECB is                                           “We don’t see any signs of
prices reflecting weakness       1930s.                             ready to give the eurozone    growing, which could act                                           improvement in the short
in the global price of oil.      It’s those fears that prompt-      a bigger dose of stimulus,    to weaken the euro in                                              term,” federation econo-
Given that inflation is way      ed the ECB to launch a             which could involve buying    the coming months,” said                                           mist Marcelo de Avila told
below the ECB’s target of        1.1 trillion-euro ($1.2 trillion)  more bonds or extending       Craig Erlam, senior market                                         the Folha de S. Paulo news-
just under 2 percent and         monetary stimulus this year.       the length of the program.    analyst at OANDA.q                                                 paper. The government’s
is widely expected to fall                                                                                                                                           Institute for Applied Eco-
further in coming months,                                                                                                                                            nomic Research said ear-
there are growing expec-                                                                                                                                             lier this month that more 1
tations the central bank will                                                                                                                                        million formally registered
increase its stimulus efforts                                                                                                                                        workers could lose their
— especially if the euro-                                                                                                                                            jobs by year’s end.
zone sees an outright fall in                                                                                                                                        In late August, the govern-
prices for the first time since                                                                                                                                      ment statistics bureau IBGE
March.                                                                                                                                                               said Brazil’s gross domestic
At first glance, deflation,                                                                                                                                          product contracted for the
which is generally defined                                                                                                                                           second consecutive quar-
as a sustained drop in pric-                                                                                                                                         ter, sending the Brazilian
es, sounds good as it allows                                                                                                                                         economy into a technical
consumers to buy things for                                                                                                                                          recession.
less. The problem lies when                                                                                                                                          The bureau said the econ-
prices fall consistently over                                                                                                                                        omy shrank 1.9 percent in
time for a range of goods                                                                                                                                            the second quarter com-
— as opposed to tempo-                                                                                                                                               pared with the previous
rary declines prompted                                                                                                                                               three months. Gross do-
by, say, a fall in prices at                                                                                                                                         mestic product in the first
the pump, which can give                                                                                                                                             quarter contracted 0.7
                                                                                                                                                                     percent.
Metro Manila traffic costing Philippines $64M a day                                                                                                                  Brazil’s economy has been
                                                                                                                                                                     hit by a drop in interna-
TERESA CEROJANO                  ed to 2.4 billion pesos ($51       corruption-free. Some of      due to El Nino — a general                                         tional commodity prices,
Associated Press                 million) a day, Economic           the big ticket projects un-   warming of parts of the Pa-                                        sluggish global economic
MANILA, Philippines (AP) —       Planning Secretary Arsenio         der the public-private part-  cific that changes weather                                         growth, rising inflation and
Metropolitan Manila’s no-        Balisacan said. With a big-        nership program have also     worldwide — are among                                              high interest rates.
torious traffic jams are cost-   ger population today and           encountered bidding prob-     the domestic risks to the                                          “We calculate that be-
ing the Philippine economy       more vehicles on the roads,        lems. “It makes sense really  economy’s growth.                                                  tween 1.5 million and 2 mil-
at least 3 billion pesos ($64    and taking into consider-          to fast-tract the completion  Balisacan said the econ-                                           lion workers in the formal
million) a day and infra-        ation other costs including        of all these infrastructure   omy is expected to grow                                            and informal job markets
structure projects need to       to the health of commut-           projects because the costs    6-6.5 percent this year,                                           will lose their jobs because
be fast-tracked to address       ers, Balisacan said 3 billion      are immense even from         down from previous esti-                                           of recession,” economist
the problem, the country’s       pesos is a conservative esti-      a strictly economic point     mates, but still among the                                         Gesner Oliveira, president
chief economic planner           mate. The cost over a year is      of view,” he told a foreign   fastest in the region.                                             of Sao Paulo consulting
said Wednesday.                  0.8 percent of gross domes-        correspondents’ forum.        He said the El Nino phe-                                           firm GO Associados said in
A study in 2012 by the Ja-       tic product. Government            The government aims to        nomenon affecting parts                                            a Wednesday email.
pan International Coop-          infrastructure spending has        spend at least 5 percent      of the country is expected                                         “Given that the economy
eration Agency found that        been delayed, with agen-           of GDP on infrastructure      to last until early next year                                      is not expected to resume
time lost by people stuck in     cies underspending due to          by next year. Delays in in-   and has been forecast to                                           growing until 2017, the
traffic and the extra cost of    difficulty in complying fast       frastructure and disaster     be as intense as the El Nino                                       job market will continue
operating vehicles in grid-      enough with new require-           reconstruction projects,      in 1997-1998 which cut ag-                                         to weaken next year,” he
lock in metropolitan Manila      ments to make public fund-         and natural hazards such      ricultural production by 24                                        said.q
and nearby areas amount-         ing more transparent and           as typhoons and drought       percent. q
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