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3. Performance for ESG-related risks



                     Apparel manufacturing company: Delphi approach for human rights-related risks

                  An apparel company uses the Delphi approach to prioritize risks with the executive committee, including
                  representation from finance, supply chain and operations.

                  The human rights manager identified the risk of human rights impacts that threaten the company’s
                  reputation. The risk was not well understood at the executive level; therefore, to support the prioritization
                  process, the company’s human rights manager provided a fact sheet to educate the risk committee prior
                  to the meeting. The expert also attended the meeting to answer any questions and provide additional
                  commentary as needed. The fact sheet included the following relevant information:
                  • The voluntary commitments the company made in relation to human rights (e.g., UN Global Compact
                   signatory)
                  • The company's requirement to assess and monitor supply chain activities for human rights violations for
                   approximately USD$120 million of the company’s contracts
                  • Customers accounting for 5% of revenue expressed human rights-related concerns in recent surveys
                  • Some institutional investors who comprise 20% of the company’s market capitalization raised changes in
                   the regulatory landscape as a major concern, for example the UK Modern Slavery Act
                  The resulting prioritization led to the addition of human rights risk on the risk inventory and specific roles
                  and initiatives established for managing this risk across the entity’s global operations and supply chain.



               Managing bias
               When identifying, assessing and prioritizing ESG-related risks, it is important to
               identify and challenge bias. In any given entity, it is not unusual to find evidence   Guidance
               of dominant personalities that drive certain positions or opinions; overreliance on
               numeric metrics, financial performance or historical data for decision-making;     Identify and
               anchoring to a particular risk event outcome or response; disproportionate   challenge
               weighting of recent events or short-term financial risks; or a tendency either   organizational
               toward risk avoidance or risk taking.                                       bias against
               It is critical to identify and challenge these biases to support better decision-     ESG issues
               making. Table 3b.13 provides examples of types of bias relevant for ESG in ERM.

               Table 3b.13: Types of bias that can impact ESG in ERM

                Type         Description
                Availability   People tend to think events are more likely to occur if they have recently heard of them happening. Thus, people
                bias         overestimate the risk of death from tornadoes, cancer or accidents and underestimate the risk from asthma or
                             diabetes. This is because tornadoes, cancer and accidents get a lot of press and movie coverage.
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                Confirmation   People tend to emphasize data that confirms their established beliefs or ideas and to discount information that
                bias         conflicts with their beliefs. People also fall for the “false-consensus effect,” assuming that others share their
                             world view. For example, if they believe in global warming, they expect that most people agree. Yet those who
                             question its existence also believe they hold the mainstream opinion.
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                Groupthink   Groups can make faulty decisions because group pressures sometimes lead to a deterioration of mental efficiency,
                bias         reality testing and moral judgment. A group is especially vulnerable to groupthink when its members are similar in
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                             background, insulated from outside opinions and there are no clear rules for decision-making.
                Illusion of   People find comfort believing they can control the world around them, even when they cannot. For example, an
                                                                                              57
                control      organization may believe it is mitigating climate-related risk by accounting for and reducing GHG emissions and
                             energy use.
                Overconfidence  People, especially specialists and experts, overestimate how much they know. Compounding the overconfidence
                effect       effect is the tendency to underestimate the time and costs of projects. 58
                Status quo bias  In choosing among alternatives, individuals display a bias toward the status quo. ESG-related risks are often new
                             and emerging, or unexpected; therefore, individuals are less likely to identify them.
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