Page 373 - JoFA_2022
P. 373

FRAUD / AUDITING




         Benford's Law-based journal                                single over if it is followed by an under. For example,
                                                                    the pattern under, under, over, under, under has three
         entry or general ledger                                    runs. Also, a series such as over, under, over, under,
                                                                    under, over, over, under, under, under (exactly the
                                                                    results from 10 to 19 in the figure “The First-Two
         analytics testing is not                                   Digits of the Population of Journal Entries”) has
                                                                    six runs.
                                                                      In data that conforms almost perfectly to Ben-
         suggested for datasets with                                ford’s Law, we would expect 46 runs in the first-two
                                                                    digits graph. However, in journal entry and accounts
         fewer than 5,000 records.                                  payable data there is a tendency to have overs
                                                                    (spikes) at the multiples of 10 (10, 20, 30, …, 90)
                                                                    because of our tendency to use round numbers for
                                                                    pricing services and for estimates. In the figure
                                                                    “The First-Two Digits of the Population of Journal
                          graph where the actual proportions are (mostly)   Entries” there is an over at each of the multiples
                          above the Benford’s Law line. The fictitious entries   of 10. This tendency slightly reduces the number
                          inflated the 20 to 49 proportions which together   of runs in accounting data, making our practical
                          with the preexisting spike at 50 created a ridge   expectation 43 (slightly fewer) runs. My experience
                          from 20 to 50. The addition of the first-two digit 20   with running these tests with internal auditors as
                          to 49 amounts also causes the other actual propor-  a part of general ledger analytics indicated that
                          tions to decrease, creating corresponding valleys   journal entry data with 35 or fewer runs might
                          from 10 to 19 and from 51 to 99. A valley is a   include some combination of ridges and valleys.
                          range in the graph where the actual proportions are   The graphs in the figure “Authentic Journal Entries
                          (mostly) below the Benford’s Law line.    With Added Fictitious Amounts” have 19 and 11
                            This clustering of the unders and the overs   runs, respectively, which is way below the suggested
                          (actual less than Benford’s Law, or actual more   critical value of 35 runs. The original data shown in
                          than Benford’s Law) might not be noticeable to an   the figure “The First-Two Digits of the Population
                          untrained eye. To identify this valley-ridge-valley   of Journal Entries” had 37 runs, which is above the
                          pattern, auditors could use the Runs test. A run is   critical value and which correctly signals that there
                          defined as a series of successive (in a row) overs or a   are no noticeable ridges or valleys. As a side issue,
                          series of successive unders. A run could consist of a   the conformity to Benford’s Law has deteriorated,




         Where to target Benford’s Law

         Not all types of journal entries are well suited to Benford’s Law-  work-in-process. These entries generally do not conform to
         based testing. Top-side journal entries are (usually) made in a   Benford’s Law, not because of fraud or error, but because a
         spreadsheet after the consolidation is completed but before the   handful of transaction types might dominate the population.
         financial statements are prepared. They do not appear as entries   For instance, a courier service might have its most frequent
         in the general ledger and are not subject to standard system   “product” be overnight delivery at a $25.35 selling price. This
         controls. They are never formally posted to the ledger accounts   product would cause the system to record perhaps a million
         of the subsidiaries. Top-side journal entries played a large role in   journal entries for that amount each day, which would cause
         the WorldCom fraud. They are significant audit risks and should   an excess of first-two digits 25s when compared with the
         be 100% tested.                                   expectations of Benford’s Law.
           System or automated journal entries are also not   The manual entries are well suited to Benford’s Law-based
         good candidates for Benford’s Law-based testing. These   testing. These entries are used for adjustments, accruals and
         journal entries flow from sales transactions, manufacturing   prepayments, funds transfers, internal billings, cost allocations,
         production, and purchase transactions. These recurring entries   reversals (voids), closing entries, and rare activities such as
         record day-to-day activities. For example, when a product   acquisitions. The manual entries are under the control of top
         is finished and moves off the factory floor, an automated   management and are exactly what would be used for financial
         system will increase finished goods inventory and decrease   statement fraud.


         16    |   Journal of Accountancy                                                        September 2022
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