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A28    SCIENCE
                         Friday 17 May 2019
            U.S. births lowest in 3 decades despite improving economy



            By CARLA K. JOHNSON                                                                                                 housing costs, Guzzo said.
            AP Medical Writer                                                                                                   Brandy Loshaw, 39, of Web-
            America’s  baby  bust  isn’t                                                                                        ster, New York, said despite
            over.  The  nation’s  birth                                                                                         a stable career as a dental
            rates  last  year  reached                                                                                          hygienist “I would never be
            record  lows  for  women                                                                                            able  to  afford  the  added
            in  their  teens  and  20s,  a                                                                                      expense of a child and live
            government  report  shows,                                                                                          comfortably.” She said she
            leading  to  the  fewest  ba-                                                                                       is  grateful  she  “can  never
            bies in 32 years.                                                                                                   remember a time in my life
            The  provisional  report,  re-                                                                                      that I wanted children.”
            leased  Wednesday  and                                                                                              Pollution   and    climate
            based  on  more  than  99%                                                                                          change worry her. “I would
            of U.S. birth records, found                                                                                        hate to bring a child into a
            3.788 million births last year.                                                                                     world that could fall apart
            It  was  the  fourth  year  the                                                                                     around    them,”   Loshaw
            number of births has fallen,                                                                                        said.  Births  were  down
            the  lowest  since  1986  and                                                                                       across  racial  groups,  with
            a  surprise  to  some  experts                                                                                      small declines for Hispanics,
            given the improving econ-                                                                                           whites,  blacks  and  Asians.
            omy. The fertility rate of 1.7                                                                                      The number of babies born
            births  per  U.S.  woman  also                                                                                      to native Hawaiian and Pa-
            fell  2%,  meaning  the  cur-  This Feb. 16, 2017 file photo shows newborn babies in the nursery of a postpartum recovery center   cific Islanders was stable.
            rent  generation  isn’t  mak-  in upstate New York.                                                                 The  Centers  for  Disease
            ing  enough  babies  to  re-                                                                       Associated Press  Control and Prevention re-
            place itself. The fertility rate  mographer  Kenneth  M.  in  their  lives.  The  only  two  in birth rates.        port also found:
            is  a  hypothetical  estimate  Johnson  of  University  of  groups  with  slightly  higher  Young Americans still want  —Overall,  the  U.S.  birth
            based  on  lifetime  projec-  New  Hampshire’s  Carsey  birth  rates  in  2018  were  to  have  children,  but  they  rate for women ages 15 to
            tions  of  age-specific  birth  School of Public Policy.  women in their late 30s and  don’t  feel  stable  enough  44  was  59  births  per  1,000
            rates.  Whether  more  U.S.  He estimates 5.7 million ba-  those in their early 40s.   to have them yet, said Kar-  women, an all-time low.
            women  are  postponing  bies would have been born  “Our  fertility  rates  are  still  en  Benjamin  Guzzo,  who  —Last year, there were 2%
            motherhood  or  forgoing  it  in the past decade if fertil-  quite  high  for  a  wealthy  studies  families  at  Bowling  fewer births than in 2017.
            entirely isn’t yet clear.    ity rates hadn’t fallen from  nation,” said Caroline Sten  Green  State  University  in  —Births to teenagers again
            If  trends  continue,  experts  pre-recession levels.     Hartnett,  a  demographer  Ohio.                          reached a record low. The
            said,  the  U.S.  can  expect  “That’s  a  lot  of  empty  kin-  at  the  University  of  South  The  U.S.  could  do  more  to  number  of  births  to  moth-
            labor  shortages  including  dergarten    rooms,”   said  Carolina.                    encourage     childbearing  ers ages 15 through 19 was
            in  elder  care  when  aging  Johnson,  who  wasn’t  in-  American women are start-    with  parental  leave,  pre-  179,607, down 8%.
            baby  boomers  need  the  volved in the report.           ing  families  sooner  than  school expansion and child  —The  rate  for  premature
            most support.                Other experts are not con-   most  other  developed  na-  care  subsidies  and  other  births  —  delivery  at  less
            “I  keep  expecting  to  see  cerned, predicting today’s  tions,  according  to  other  policies  aimed  at  helping  than  37  weeks  —  rose  for
            the  birth  rates  go  up  and  young  women  will  catch  research  .  Other  countries  young   adults   struggling  the  fourth  straight  year  to
            then  they  don’t,”  said  de-  up  with  childbearing  later  are  seeing  similar  declines  with student loan debt and  just over 10%, from 9.9%.q

                                                                      U.N. leader travels to Pacific to


                                                                      see climate change firsthand




                                                                      WELLINGTON, New Zealand  meaning that sea levels will  ments  at  a  meeting  with
                                                                      (AP) — U.N. Secretary-Gen-   rise a full meter (over 3 feet)  officials  from  the  Pacific
                                                                      eral  Antonio  Guterres  said  by  2100  if  nothing  is  done  Islands  Forum  in  Suva,  Fiji’s
                                                                      Wednesday that he’s trav-    to  avoid  it,”  Guterres  said.  capital.
                                                                      eling to three South Pacific  “Here  in  the  Pacific,  sea-  He also plans to visit the is-
                                                                      island  nations  to  see  the  level rise in some countries  land nations of Tuvalu and
                                                                      effects  of  climate  change  is  four  times  greater  than  Vanuatu.
            In  this  image  made  from  video,  United  Nations  Secretary-  firsthand.           the  global  average  and  His  trip  comes  ahead  of
            General Antonio Guterres addresses the Pacific Islands Forum,   Speaking  in  Fiji,  the  U.N.  is  an  existential  threat  to  the Climate Action Summit
            Wednesday, May 15, 2019, in Suva, Fiji.                   leader  said  he  wanted  to  some island states.”        that he plans to convene in
                                                     Associated Press  learn  about  the  work  be-  Guterres said island nations  September in New York.q
                                                                      ing  undertaken  by  island  should speak out.
                                                                      communities    to   bolster  “As  we  look  ahead,  your
                                                                      resilience.  He  said  the  Pa-  voices  will  remain  crucial
                                                                      cific  needs  stronger  inter-  in global  negotiations,” he
                                                                      national  support  because  said.
                                                                      climate  change  is  taking  “Your  experiences  under-
                                                                      place faster than efforts to  score  the  urgency  of  the
                                                                      address it.                  threat, and the Pacific has
                                                                      “The  last  four  years  were  a unique moral authority to
                                                                      the  hottest  on  record.  The  speak out. It is time for the
                                                                      loss of ice in Greenland and  world to listen.”
                                                                      Antarctica  is  accelerating,  Guterres  made  the  com-
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