Page 28 - ARUBA TODAY
P. 28

A28    SCIENCE
                   Tuesday 2 OcTOber 2018

            Warning system might have saved lives in Indonesian tsunami



            By STEPHEN WRIGHT                                                                                                   to the next node in the net-
             Associated Press                                                                                                   work and so on.
            MAKASSAR, Indonesia (AP)                                                                                            The Padang network's final
            — An early warning system                                                                                           undersea  point  needs  just
            that might have prevented                                                                                           a few more kilometers of fi-
            some deaths in the tsunami                                                                                          ber optic cable to connect
            that  hit  an  Indonesian  is-                                                                                      it to a station on an offshore
            land  on  Friday  has  been                                                                                         island where the cascades
            stalled in the testing phase                                                                                        of data would be transmit-
            for years.                                                                                                          ted by satellite to the geo-
            The  high-tech  system  of                                                                                          physics  agency,  which  is-
            seafloor  sensors,  data-lad-                                                                                       sues tsunami warnings, and
            en sound waves and fiber-                                                                                           to disaster officials.
            optic cable was meant to                                                                                            The  Associated  Press  first
            replace a system set up af-                                                                                         reported  on  the  system  in
            ter an earthquake and tsu-                                                                                          January  2017,  when  the
            nami  killed  nearly  250,000                                                                                       project was awaiting Indo-
            people  in  the  region  in                                                                                         nesian  funding  to  lay  the
            2004.   But   inter-agency                                                                                          cables.  Since  then,  agen-
            wrangling  and  delays  in                                                                                          cies involved have suffered
            getting  just  1  billion  rupiah                                                                                   budget  cuts  and  the  proj-
            ($69,000)  to  complete  the                                                                                        ect  bounced  back  and
            project  mean  the  system   People survey the damage following a massive earthquake and tsunami in Palu, Central Sulawesi,   forth between them.
            hasn't  moved  beyond  a     Indonesia, Sunday, Sept. 30, 2018.                                                     A  December  2017  quake
            prototype  developed  with                                                                         Associated Press   off the coast of Java close
            $3 million from the U.S. Na-                                                                                        to Jakarta reignited interest
            tional Science Foundation.   230,000 people in a dozen  of  134  tidal  gauge  sta-    multiple  quakes  within  a  and the geophysics agen-
            It is too late for central Su-  countries,  more  than  half  tions  augmented  by  land-  short  period  of  time.  They  cy made getting funding a
            lawesi,  where  walls  of  wa-  of  them  in  the  Indonesian  based seismographs, sirens  don't  take  into  account  priority. In July, the Ministry
            ter up to 6 meters (20 feet)  province  of  Aceh,  a  con-  in  about  55  locations  and  submarine landslides."   of Finance in July approved
            high and a magnitude 7.5  certed  international  effort  a  system  to  disseminate  Whatever  system  is  in  use,  funding  to  purchase  and
            earthquake  killed  at  least  was  launched  to  improve  warnings by text message.   he  said,  the  priority  after  lay the cable.
            832  people  in  the  cities  of  tsunami  warning  capabili-  When the 7.5 quake hit just  an earthquake in a coast-  But  at  an  inter-agency
            Palu  and  Donggala,  tragi-  ties,  particularly  in  the  In-  after 6 p.m. Friday, the me-  al  area  should  be  to  get  meeting in September, the
            cally highlighting the weak-  dian  Ocean  and  for  Indo-  teorology  and  geophysics  to  higher  ground  and  stay  three  major  agencies  in-
            nesses of the existing warn-  nesia,  one  of  world's  most  agency  issued  a  tsunami  there for a couple of hours.  volved  failed  to  agree  on
            ing  system  and  low  public  earthquake  and  tsunami-  alert,  warning  of  potential  Power  outages  after  the  their responsibilities and the
            awareness  about  how  to  prone countries.               for waves of 0.5 to 3 meters  earthquake  struck  meant  project was "simply put on
            respond to warnings.         Part  of  that  drive,  using  (2 to 10 feet). It ended the  that  sirens  meant  to  warn  hold," Comfort said.
            "To me this is a tragedy for  funding   from   Germany  warning  at  6:36  p.m.  That  residents  to  evacuate  did  Indonesian officials who've
            science,  even  more  so  a  and  elsewhere,  included  drew harsh online criticism,  not  work,  said  Harkunti  P.  been supportive of the new
            tragedy for the Indonesian  deploying a network of 22  but the agency's head said  Rahayu,  an  expert  at  the  early  warning  system  did
            people  as  the  residents  buoys  connected  to  sea-    the warning was lifted after  Institute  of  Technology  in  not  immediately  respond
            of  Sulawesi  are  discover-  floor sensors to transmit ad-  the tsunami hit. It's unclear  Bandung.                to requests for comment.
            ing  right  now,"  said  Louise  vance warnings.          exactly  what  time  tsunami  "Most people were shocked  Since the 2004 tsunami, the
            Comfort,  a  University  of  A    sizeable   earthquake  waves rushed into the nar-    by the earthquake and did  mantra among disaster offi-
            Pittsburgh expert in disaster  off  Sumatra  island  in  2016  row  bay  that  Palu  is  built  not  pay  any  thought  that  cials in Indonesia has been
            management who has led  that  caused  panic  in  the  around.                          a  tsunami  will  come,"  she  that  the  earthquake  is  the
            the U.S. side of the project,  coastal  city  of  Padang  re-  "The tide gauges are oper-  said.                    tsunami warning and signal
            which  also  involves  engi-  vealed  that  none  of  the  ating,  but  they  are  limited  Experts  say  the  prototype  for immediate evacuation.
            neers from the Woods Hole  buoys  costing  hundreds  of  in  providing  any  advance  system  deployed  offshore  Not everyone is convinced
            Oceanographic      Institute  thousands  of  dollars  each  warning.  None  of  the  22  from  Padang  —  a  city  ex-  a tsunami detection system
            and  Indonesian  scientists  were working. They'd been  buoys     are   functioning,"  tremely  vulnerable  to  tsu-  is essential.
            and disaster experts.        disabled  by  vandalism  or  Comfort  said.  "In  the  Su-  namis  because  it  faces  a  "What   Indonesian   col-
            "It's a heartbreak to watch  theft  or  just  stopped  work-  lawesi incident, BMKG (the  major undersea fault over-  leagues have commented
            when  there  is  a  well-de-  ing due to a lack of funds  meteorology and geophys-     due for a massive quake —  upon  is  that  people  were
            signed sensor network that  for maintenance.              ics  agency)  canceled  the  can  provide  authoritative  confused  about  what  to
            could provide critical infor-  The  backbone  of  Indone-  tsunami  warning  too  soon,  information about a tsuna-  do  with  the  alert  informa-
            mation," she said.           sia's  tsunami  warning  sys-  because  it  did  not  have  mi threat within 1 to 3 min-  tion,"  said  Gavin  Sullivan,
            After  a  2004  tsunami  killed  tem  today  is  a  network  data  from  Palu.  This  is  the  utes. That compares with 5  a  Coventry  University  psy-
                                                                      data the tsunami detection  to 45 minutes from the now  chologist  who  works  with
                                                                      system could provide."       defunct buoys and the lim-   the  Indonesian  Resilience
                                                                      Adam  Switzer,  a  tsunami  ited  information  provided  Initiative on a disaster prep-
                                                                      expert  at  the  Earth  Obser-  by tidal gauges.          aration  project  for  the  In-
                                                                      vatory  of  Singapore,  said  The system's undersea seis-  donesian city of Bandung.
                                                                      it's a "little unfair" to say the  mometers  and  pressure  The fact that people were
                                                                      agency got it wrong.         sensors  send  data-laden  still  milling  around  Palu's
                                                                      "What  it  shows  is  that  the  sound  waves  to  warm  sur-  shoreline   when   waves
                                                                      tsunami  models  we  have  face  waters.  From  there  were  visibly  approaching
                                                                      now  are  too  simplistic,"  he  they  refract  back  into  the  shows  the  lessons  of  ear-
                                                                      said.  "They  don't  take  into  depths,  traveling  20  to  30  lier  disasters  haven't  been
                                                                      account  multiple  events,  kilometers  (12  to  20  miles)  absorbed.q
   23   24   25   26   27   28   29   30   31   32