Page 8 - A Literary Review / NPAs
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of   11   varyingly   contradictory   laws  climbing   by   over   a   1000   bips,  of 2002 (ARCIL), crafted with the
                                                                                                                                 Brainchild   of   the   Siddiqui   effectively   giving   the   stressed
         and   directives   into   an   effective  even   with   a   covid-19   freeze   in  idea   of   allowing   banks   to   focus
                                                                                                                                 Committee   of   2000,   it   keeps   a  firms   a   make-over   rather   than   a
         vehicle   of    delivering   swift  tow.  The  IBC  then  followed  up  on  on   their   lending   forte   whilst
                                                                                                                                 knowledge   repository   of   credit  wash-over.
         resolution   for   liquidated   wind-  their   successes,   paving   the   way  offloading   the   debt-recovery
                                                                                                                                 history   of   its   participants.   A
         downs.   The   brainchild   of   late  for   the   National   Companies   Law  part to private specialists. The
                                                                                                                                 crucial   plug   in   the   credit  F.   Asset   Quality   Review   (AQR),
         Finance   Minister   Sh.   Arun   Jaitley,  Tribunal   (NCLT)   to   specifically  history   of   ARCs   in   India
                                                                                                                                 machine,   it   enables   lenders   a  2015 / The Big Whip.
         it   sought   to   condense   the   wide  attend  and  adjudicate  corporate  meanwhile,   has   been   relatively
                                                                                                                                                                                                        The usual Indian public sector banker at a
                                                                                                                                 better  picture  of  their  borrowers,
                                                                                                                                                                                                        hard day's work.
         array   of   pre-existing   legislations  instances  of  debt  non-repayment  young.   Nevertheless,   they’ve
                                                                                                                                 with   around     600    Million   With   growing   notions   of   critically
         namely:   The   Presidency   Towns  and   subsequent   forbearance,    made   strides   in   debt   resolution
                                                                                                                                 individuals   and   32   Million   destabilizing   evergreening,   RBI
         Insolvency   Act,   1909;   Provincial  sharing   the   brunt   with   the  particularly   after   IBC
                                                                                                                                 business covered under its radar.  cracked     down     with    its
         Insolvency   Act,    1920;   The    overcooked   DRTs    and   their   empowerment in 2016.
                                                                                                                                                                    thunderous   interventionism   in   the
         Companies   Act,   2013   (Amended),  endless  sea  of  queued  cases  -  all          The  biggest  thorn  in  the  ARCs
                                                                                                                                 C. 5/25 Ru le, 2014                books    of    all   Scheduled
         Recovery   of   Debts   Due   to   Banks  exigencies   one   after   another   -  business   practice   has   been
                                                                                                                                                                    Commercial  Banks  to  unearth  the
         and Financial Institutions Act, 1993
                                             freeing   them   up   to   cater   to  regulatory   overreach   mitigating
                                                                                                                                 The   notorious   poster   boy   of  carpeted   troves   of   precarious
         (Amended)   and   finally   the   Sick
                                             individual  grievances,  the  domain  any   substantial   stake.   It
                                                                                                                                 “kicking  the  can  down  the  road”,  forbearance.       Financial
         Industrial   Companies   (Special
                                             they   were   undeniably   better  prevented   them   from   turning
                                                                                                                                 the   5/25   restructuring   scheme  inspections   of   this   nature   usually
         Provisions)   Repeal   Act,   2003.
                                             suited   for   from   the   off.   All-in-all,  around  businesses  to  sustainable
                                                                                                                                 allowed   amortisation   to   be   are   nothing   out   the   ordinary,   in
         Quite   the   longlist   of   ex   solvency
                                             a  big  win  for  debt  resolution  and  profitability  as  ARCs  were  legally
                                                                                                                                 extend   across   a   25-year   period  fact   RBI’s   Annual   Financial
         laws.
                                             a   sparkling   prelude   for   better  required   to   hand-over
                                                                                                                                 with   adjusted   interest   rates   at  Inspective   (AFI)   is   a   fairly   routine
                     This   would   then   enable   a
                                             things to come.                    management back to the original
                                                                                                                                 every   5-year   mark.   It   ensured  tool   of   examining   the   structural
         sensible  recourse  for  market  exits,
                                                                                promoters     once      enough
                                                                                                                                 better     liquidity    through    underbelly   of   bank’s   dealings.
         particularly   in   an     Indian
                                                                                collateral   reconstruction   had
                                                "The economic roadmap                                                            standardisation   of   seemingly   With   small   samples   of   asset
         landscape   where   –   according   to
                                                                                been   done    to   meet   debt
                                                towards the handling of                                                          bad   loans   thereby   cutting   into  classes   examined   to   verify
         World   Bank   data   –   it   took   on                               repayments.   So,   in   effect,   ARCs          provisioning,  however,  all  that  at  veracious   viability,   ensuring
                                               mounting NPAs has been a
         average   almost   about   4   years   to                              were   left   holding   the   bag   on           the   cost   of   long-term   interest  repayments   are   in   line   with   loan
                                               slippery slope. With a vast
         go   through   the   insolvency   cycle,                               debt,  while  the  assets  went  back            spikes,   burdening   borrowers    classification.  However,  following
                                               array of initiatives planned
         twice   that   of   China,   and   multiple                            to   the   distressed   companies.               deeper  in  the  red  in  the  name  of  a   lengthy   stretch   of   dubious
                                               and executed, with little to
         times   that   of   the   US.   Mostly                                 Leaving   little   onus   for   ARCs   to        a   temporal   quick   fix.   And  dealings     and      statistical
                                               no continuance or accord.
         thanks    to     the    countless                                      look  anywhere  beyond  the  short-              cornering lenders to “evergreen”   anomalies,  RBI  sought  to  pop  the
                                               The one-off nature of these
         complimentary   &   supplementary                                      term   turnarounds   of   liquidation.           loans,   thus   elongating   the   hood.   With   a   mid-2015   shock-
                                               projects is what’s been the
         routes   all   the   way   up   to   4                                 The   effect   of   which   clearly              vicious    cycle    of     bad     and-awe   inspection   (between
                                                sore thumb in economic
         separate  inter-ministerial  avenues                                   stands   out   in   the   diminishing
                                                                                                                                 indebtedness, an exacerbation.     August-November),   they   went
                                                   planning, throwing
         for  eking  out  a  conclusionary  end,                                recoveries   plummeting   year-on-
                                                                                                                                 And   as   2017’s   Economic   Survey  deep   into   the   cesspool   of   debt
                                                cogency out the window
         with   parallel   procession   all   the                               year   from   FY12   highs   of   72%   of
                                                                                                                                 put   it,   “This   in   turn   has  forbearances   uncovering   a   fatal
                                                for momentary redressal,
         way   through,   a   jungly   jangling                                 all   security   receipts,   down   to
                                                                                                                                 aggravated   the   initial   problem”.  behemoth of delinquencies.
                                                 devoid of overarching
         way.                                                                   18.7%   and   9.5%   in   FY17   &   FY18
                                                                                                                                 A   succinct   conclusion   illustrative          With  sample  sizes  significantly
                                                        themes".
                     Statistically   that   translates                          respectively.   Amounting   to   a
                                                                                                                                 of   the   kind   of   shoddy   foresight  chunkier than the AFIs before, RBI
         nicely into a deep clean-up of the                                     mere   5%   in   the   NPA   ocean,
                                             3.1.2.   Quantitative/Economic                                                      that perpetuates this mess.        stuck   its   needle   surgically
         credit   closet.   As   CRISIL   Ratings’                              hardly   scratching   the   surface.
                                             Measures                                                                                                               uncovering   years   of   missed
         President   Gurpreet   Chhatwal,                                       The   pandemic   further   drove   the
                                                         As   discussed   before,   the                                          D.   Strategic   Debt   Restructuring,  repayments   and   evergreening.
         “The   recovery   rate   for   the   94                                nails   on   their   ongoing   flailing
                                             economic   roadmap   towards   the                                                  2015                               Mandating straightening up of all
         cases   resolved   through   IBC   by                                  throttle   with   a   sharp   drop   in
                                             handling   of   mounting   NPAs   has                                                                                  such   cluttered   instances   of   bad
         fiscal  2019  is  43%,  compared  with                                 bidders   as   well   as   delay   in
                                             been  a  slippery  slope.  With  a  vast                                            Quite   simply   the   conversion   of  loans  to  be  classified  properly  as
         26.5%        through      earlier                                      payments   thanks   to   the   overall
                                             array   of   initiatives   planned   and                                            debt   into   equity   for   lenders   to  the   NPAs   they   were.   Needless   to
         mechanisms”.   On   top   of   which                                   externalities   surrounding   Covid
                                             executed,   with   little   to   no                                                 levy   their   loans   in   the   form   of  say,   ensuring   a   long   winter   for
         liquidation   values   have   also                                     restrictions.
                                             continuance   or   accord.   The   one-                                             equity   shares   in   the   borrowing  the shaken-up banks.
         soared   to   nearly   double   of   what                                             Nevertheless,   there   is   strong
                                             off   nature   of   these   projects   is                                           company.   Intrinsically   linked   to  With  clear  counts  of  asset  quality
         previous   valuations   had   put   them                               hope     for    ARC      sector
                                             what’s   been   the   sore   thumb   in                                             JLFs (Joint Lenders Forum).        deterioration   and   ballooning
         to be, under the sole aegis of IBC.                                    consolidation  with  the  shifting  of
                                             economic    planning,   throwing                                                                                       NPAs, bank profits plummeted. As
         With   resolution   times   significantly                              more   prerogative   to   take   on
                                             cogency   out   the   window   for                                                  E. Sustainable Structuring of      the   0.4%    provisioning   for
         boosted   too,   albeit   not   exactly                                equity  in  the  long-term  and  have
                                             momentary   redressal,   devoid   of                                                Stressed Assets, S4A, 2016         standard   assets   had   to   be
         optimally   progressing,   still   with                                a   say   in   future   management   of
                                             overarching themes.                                                                                                    pumped   up   to   15%   for   NPAs,
         only  about  32%  of  the  over  1,100+                                stressed   firms,   if   only.   But   with
                                                                                                                                 An   extension   to   the   previous  quarterly   losses   came   in
         cases   outstanding   having   270                                     the   resolution   process   strongly
                                             A. Asset Reconstruction                                                             ideas   expressed   by   SDRs,   the  thumping   waves   of   thousands   of
         days    or    more    periodicity,                                     simplified   by   IBC   and   the   NCLTs
                                             Companies, 2002 & 1991                                                              S4A   framework   allowed   for    Crores.   With   the   great   expose
         tectonically   down   from   the   4+                                  on   the   way,   ARCs   might   just   pull
                                                                                                                                 slightly more advance operations   particularly   exposing    PSBs
         years   it   used   to   be   not   so   long                          their weight.
                                             The   most   defining   axis   of   NPA                                             on   debt   conversion,   allowing   for  stresses,   compared   to   relatively
         ago (WB Doing Business, 2019).
                                             resolution   undoubtedly   rests   with                                             convertible   debentures   as   well  smaller extent of NPAs for PVBs.
                           With   a   resolution-led   focus                    B. Credit Information Bureau
                                             the   ARCs.   Idealized   with   the   1991                                         as   allowing    the    existing               A  necessary  evil  of  sorts,  RBI
         IBC   has   categorically   shown                                      (CIBIL), 2004
                                             Narasimhan    Committee,    and                                                     promoters   to   continue   minority  Governor   at   the   time,   Raghuram
         better results, with loan recoveries
                                             incepted with the SARFAESI Act                                                      management,                        Rajan highlighted the need for
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