Page 9 - A Literary Review / NPAs
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of   11   varyingly   contradictory   laws  climbing   by   over   a   1000   bips,  of 2002 (ARCIL), crafted with the
          Brainchild   of   the   Siddiqui   effectively   giving   the   stressed
 and   directives   into   an   effective  even   with   a   covid-19   freeze   in  idea   of   allowing   banks   to   focus
          Committee   of   2000,   it   keeps   a  firms   a   make-over   rather   than   a
 vehicle   of   delivering   swift  tow.  The  IBC  then  followed  up  on  on   their   lending   forte   whilst
          knowledge   repository   of   credit  wash-over.
 resolution   for   liquidated   wind-  their   successes,   paving   the   way  offloading   the   debt-recovery
          history   of   its   participants.   A
 downs.   The   brainchild   of   late  for   the   National   Companies   Law  part to private specialists. The
          crucial   plug   in   the   credit  F.   Asset   Quality   Review   (AQR),
 Finance   Minister   Sh.   Arun   Jaitley,  Tribunal   (NCLT)   to   specifically  history   of   ARCs   in   India
          machine,   it   enables   lenders   a  2015 / The Big Whip.
 it   sought   to   condense   the   wide  attend  and  adjudicate  corporate  meanwhile,   has   been   relatively
                                                                                 The usual Indian public sector banker at a
          better  picture  of  their  borrowers,
                                                                                 hard day's work.
 array   of   pre-existing   legislations  instances  of  debt  non-repayment  young.   Nevertheless,   they’ve
          with   around    600     Million   With   growing   notions   of   critically
 namely:   The   Presidency   Towns  and   subsequent   forbearance,  made   strides   in   debt   resolution
          individuals   and   32   Million   destabilizing   evergreening,   RBI
 Insolvency   Act,   1909;   Provincial  sharing   the   brunt   with   the  particularly   after   IBC
          business covered under its radar.  cracked    down      with    its
 Insolvency   Act,   1920;   The  overcooked   DRTs   and   their  empowerment in 2016.
                                             thunderous   interventionism   in   the
 Companies   Act,   2013   (Amended),  endless  sea  of  queued  cases  -  all          The  biggest  thorn  in  the  ARCs
          C. 5/25 Ru le, 2014                books    of    all   Scheduled
 Recovery   of   Debts   Due   to   Banks  exigencies   one   after   another   -  business   practice   has   been
                                             Commercial  Banks  to  unearth  the
 and Financial Institutions Act, 1993
 freeing   them   up   to   cater   to  regulatory   overreach   mitigating
          The   notorious   poster   boy   of  carpeted   troves   of   precarious
 (Amended)   and   finally   the   Sick
 individual  grievances,  the  domain  any   substantial   stake.   It
          “kicking  the  can  down  the  road”,  forbearance.       Financial
 Industrial   Companies   (Special
 they   were   undeniably   better  prevented   them   from   turning
          the   5/25   restructuring   scheme  inspections   of   this   nature   usually
 Provisions)   Repeal   Act,   2003.
 suited   for   from   the   off.   All-in-all,  around  businesses  to  sustainable
          allowed   amortisation   to   be   are   nothing   out   the   ordinary,   in
 Quite   the   longlist   of   ex   solvency
 a  big  win  for  debt  resolution  and  profitability  as  ARCs  were  legally
          extend   across   a   25-year   period  fact   RBI’s   Annual   Financial
 laws.
 a   sparkling   prelude   for   better  required   to   hand-over
          with   adjusted   interest   rates   at  Inspective   (AFI)   is   a   fairly   routine
             This   would   then   enable   a
 things to come.  management back to the original
          every   5-year   mark.   It   ensured  tool   of   examining   the   structural
 sensible  recourse  for  market  exits,
 promoters   once   enough
          better     liquidity   through     underbelly   of   bank’s   dealings.
 particularly   in   an   Indian
 collateral   reconstruction   had
 "The economic roadmap  standardisation   of   seemingly  With   small   samples   of   asset
 landscape   where   –   according   to
 been   done   to   meet   debt
 towards the handling of  bad   loans   thereby   cutting   into  classes   examined   to   verify
 World   Bank   data   –   it   took   on  repayments.   So,   in   effect,   ARCs  provisioning,  however,  all  that  at  veracious   viability,   ensuring
 mounting NPAs has been a
 average   almost   about   4   years   to  were   left   holding   the   bag   on  the   cost   of   long-term   interest  repayments   are   in   line   with   loan
 slippery slope. With a vast
 go   through   the   insolvency   cycle,  debt,  while  the  assets  went  back  spikes,   burdening   borrowers  classification.  However,  following
 array of initiatives planned
 twice   that   of   China,   and   multiple  to   the   distressed   companies.  deeper  in  the  red  in  the  name  of  a   lengthy   stretch   of   dubious
 and executed, with little to
 times   that   of   the   US.   Mostly  Leaving   little   onus   for   ARCs   to  a   temporal   quick   fix.   And  dealings   and   statistical
 no continuance or accord.
 thanks   to   the   countless  look  anywhere  beyond  the  short-  cornering lenders to “evergreen”  anomalies,  RBI  sought  to  pop  the
 The one-off nature of these
 complimentary   &   supplementary  term   turnarounds   of   liquidation.  loans,   thus   elongating   the  hood.   With   a   mid-2015   shock-
 projects is what’s been the
 routes   all   the   way   up   to   4  The   effect   of   which   clearly  vicious   cycle   of   bad  and-awe   inspection   (between
 sore thumb in economic
 separate  inter-ministerial  avenues  stands   out   in   the   diminishing
          indebtedness, an exacerbation.     August-November),   they   went
 planning, throwing
 for  eking  out  a  conclusionary  end,  recoveries   plummeting   year-on-
          And   as   2017’s   Economic   Survey  deep   into   the   cesspool   of   debt
 cogency out the window
 with   parallel   procession   all   the  year   from   FY12   highs   of   72%   of
          put   it,   “This   in   turn   has  forbearances   uncovering   a   fatal
 for momentary redressal,
 way   through,   a   jungly   jangling  all   security   receipts,   down   to
          aggravated   the   initial   problem”.  behemoth of delinquencies.
 devoid of overarching
 way.   18.7%   and   9.5%   in   FY17   &   FY18
          A   succinct   conclusion   illustrative          With  sample  sizes  significantly
 themes".
             Statistically   that   translates  respectively.   Amounting   to   a
          of   the   kind   of   shoddy   foresight  chunkier than the AFIs before, RBI
 nicely into a deep clean-up of the  mere   5%   in   the   NPA   ocean,
 3.1.2.   Quantitative/Economic  that perpetuates this mess.   stuck   its   needle   surgically
 credit   closet.   As   CRISIL   Ratings’  hardly   scratching   the   surface.
 Measures                                    uncovering   years   of   missed
 President   Gurpreet   Chhatwal,  The   pandemic   further   drove   the
             As   discussed   before,   the  D.   Strategic   Debt   Restructuring,  repayments   and   evergreening.
 “The   recovery   rate   for   the   94  nails   on   their   ongoing   flailing
 economic   roadmap   towards   the  2015    Mandating straightening up of all
 cases   resolved   through   IBC   by  throttle   with   a   sharp   drop   in
 handling   of   mounting   NPAs   has       such   cluttered   instances   of   bad
 fiscal  2019  is  43%,  compared  with  bidders   as   well   as   delay   in
 been  a  slippery  slope.  With  a  vast  Quite   simply   the   conversion   of  loans  to  be  classified  properly  as
 26.5%   through   earlier  payments   thanks   to   the   overall
 array   of   initiatives   planned   and  debt   into   equity   for   lenders   to  the   NPAs   they   were.   Needless   to
 mechanisms”.   On   top   of   which  externalities   surrounding   Covid
 executed,   with   little   to   no  levy   their   loans   in   the   form   of  say,   ensuring   a   long   winter   for
 liquidation   values   have   also  restrictions.
 continuance   or   accord.   The   one-  equity   shares   in   the   borrowing  the shaken-up banks.
 soared   to   nearly   double   of   what                 Nevertheless,   there   is   strong
 off   nature   of   these   projects   is  company.   Intrinsically   linked   to  With  clear  counts  of  asset  quality
 previous   valuations   had   put   them  hope   for   ARC   sector
 what’s   been   the   sore   thumb   in  JLFs (Joint Lenders Forum).  deterioration   and   ballooning
 to be, under the sole aegis of IBC.  consolidation  with  the  shifting  of
 economic   planning,   throwing             NPAs, bank profits plummeted. As
 With   resolution   times   significantly  more   prerogative   to   take   on
 cogency   out   the   window   for  E. Sustainable Structuring of  the   0.4%   provisioning   for
 boosted   too,   albeit   not   exactly  equity  in  the  long-term  and  have
 momentary   redressal,   devoid   of  Stressed Assets, S4A, 2016  standard   assets   had   to   be
 optimally   progressing,   still   with  a   say   in   future   management   of
 overarching themes.                         pumped   up   to   15%   for   NPAs,
 only  about  32%  of  the  over  1,100+  stressed   firms,   if   only.   But   with
          An   extension   to   the   previous  quarterly   losses   came   in
 cases   outstanding   having   270  the   resolution   process   strongly
 A. Asset Reconstruction  ideas   expressed   by   SDRs,   the  thumping   waves   of   thousands   of
 days   or   more   periodicity,  simplified   by   IBC   and   the   NCLTs
 Companies, 2002 & 1991   S4A   framework   allowed   for  Crores.   With   the   great   expose
 tectonically   down   from   the   4+  on   the   way,   ARCs   might   just   pull
          slightly more advance operations   particularly   exposing    PSBs
 years   it   used   to   be   not   so   long  their weight.
 The   most   defining   axis   of   NPA  on   debt   conversion,   allowing   for  stresses,   compared   to   relatively
 ago (WB Doing Business, 2019).
 resolution   undoubtedly   rests   with  convertible   debentures   as   well  smaller extent of NPAs for PVBs.
                   With   a   resolution-led   focus  B. Credit Information Bureau
 the   ARCs.   Idealized   with   the   1991  as   allowing   the   existing              A  necessary  evil  of  sorts,  RBI
 IBC   has   categorically   shown  (CIBIL), 2004
 Narasimhan   Committee,   and  promoters   to   continue   minority  Governor   at   the   time,   Raghuram
 better results, with loan recoveries
 incepted with the SARFAESI Act   management,   Rajan highlighted the need for
 #01      DRAFT VERSION
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