Page 6 - FSUOGM Week 44 2021
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FSUOGM                                        COMMENTARY                                            FSUOGM



                         official status as a developed country at the UN  such as India, China and Indonesia.
                         climate convention.                    The International Energy Agency (IEA) exec-
                           Erdogan announced at the end of October  utive director Fatih Birol stressed recently that
                         that it had signed $3.2bn of Green Climate Fund  the leaders meeting in Glasgow must communi-
                         loans in order to meet the clean energy goals out-  cate that any future investment in fossil fuels will
                         lined in the Paris climate accord, suggesting that  lose money, ICIS reported.
                         it has made some headway in gaining access to   “I’d like to see the world leaders coming
                         climate finance.                     together and giving a message to the rest of the
                                                              world, saying to investors: ‘We are united behind
                         Developing countries                 a clean energy future [and] we are giving you an
                         Meanwhile, for developing nations in Africa  unmistakable signal: If you continue to invest
                         and Asia, the effects of climate change are more  in fossil fuels, you may risk losing money,’” said
                         urgent, as they are more vulnerable to climate  Birol.
                         change-induced catastrophes such as floods,   The agency wants a range of incentives, such
                         droughts and wildfires.              as carbon pricing mechanisms, green legislation
                           For example, the UN has warned that the  and an end to any licensing of fossil fuel projects.
                         continent is especially vulnerable to high levels   A key challenge is scaling up technology, as
                         of migration because of climate change, as even  while the technology exists to reach net zero,
                         though sub-Saharan Africa has contributed the  much of it is very much in its infancy and exper-
                         least to global warming, the continent will expe-  imental. As solar panels and wind turbines have
                         rience the most devastating impacts of climate  fallen in price in recent years, governments and
                         change.                              companies must ensure that similar falls in costs,
                           A key issue is for OECD nations to fulfil their  accompanied by rapid increases in engineering
                         pledge to raise climate finance to $100bn per  and construction capacity, emerge for such tech-
                         year. Rich nations have so far failed to reach this  nology as carbon capture, hydrogen fuel and
                         target – commitments reached $80bn in 2019  batteries.
                         and the $100bn milestone is only now antici-
                         pated in 2023.                       Showing up
                           Poorer nations are also calling for stronger  The central target is to limit global warming
                         emissions cuts and financial compensation for  to 1.5°C by 2100, but there is still no detail on
                         the impacts they are expected to suffer from cli-  what pathways to follow to reach this target. This
                         mate change.                         means information about how much it will cost
                           Poor nations also want more help for adap-  and who will pay, and what sorts of technology
                         tation, a catch-all term for efforts to make local  will be used and when.
                         societies and infrastructure more resilient to the   It would be a bonus, indeed a triumph of
                         impact of climate change. They want COP26 to  diplomacy, if COP26 is able to deliver agreement
                         define a Global Goal on Adaptation (GGA) and  on any of these details.
                         to commit to allocating at least 50% of climate   Finance, especially issues such as putting
                         finance to adaptation.               price on carbon, carbon taxes and the operation
                                                              of carbon markets, will also be a major issue at
                         Climate finance                      the conference, and again any agreement will be
                         The recent price volatility in energy markets will  hailed as progress by the world’s governments.
                         also concentrate minds on how this will be paid   If there can be agreement on $100bn per year
                         for in the decades to come, and how government  in finance for the developing world, then again
                         efforts to increase renewables share of energy  the world’s richest countries will be able to claim
                         supply could be influenced negatively by price  a victory.
                         shocks and supply threats.             However, the G20 conference has not man-
                           What policymakers must do is send clear sig-  aged to come up with any momentum to COP26.
                         nals to global investors that investing the requi-  UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson said on the
                         site sums is worthwhile.             evening of October 31: “If Glasgow fails, then the
                           One key metric is the falling cost of renewa-  whole thing fails.”
                         bles has made green investment just as attractive,   US President Joe Biden added to the negative
                         and is in some cases a better bet, than investing  tone by expressing disappointment that Russia
                         in fossil fuels, especially in large Asian markets  and China basically didn't show up."™



















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