Page 10 - FSUOGM Week 44 2021
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FSUOGM                                       PERFORMANCE                                            FSUOGM


       Novatek reports strong Q3 result but fails




       to fully capitalise on gas price spike




        RUSSIA           RUSSIA’S Novatek reported a year-on-year  increased gas revenues by 5% q/q, average
                         surge in earnings in the third quarter, although  JKM and TTF day-ahead prices were up over
       The company's EBITDA   the company did not capitalise that much on the  80%, the brokerage said.
       almost doubled in the   spike in global gas prices, as the bulk of its sales   BCS Global Markets said the company
       third quarter.    are hedged to oil.                   modestly outperformed expectations, adding
                           The company’s EBITDA almost doubled to  that its higher gas price was likely the result of
                         RUB181.8bn ($2.6bn), while net profit surged to  higher oil prices rather than higher gas prices, as
                         RUB112.9bn from RUB13.2bn a year ago. Rev-  most of its sales from the Yamal LNG plant was
                         enues grew to RUB269.9bn from RUB161.2bn.  linked to the former.
                         Its gas production was up 3% y/y at 16bn cubic   Novatek is currently seeking external financ-
                         metres, but down 6% quarter on quarter.  ing for its next liquefaction project, Arctic
                           “We think the market was likely expecting  LNG-2. Russia’s Sberbank, Gazprombank, Bank
                         a bigger impact from the sharp increase in  GPB International, VEB.RF and Bank Otkritie
                         natural gas prices globally,” analysts at Sova  Financial Corp. had agreed in April to provide a
                         Capital said in a research note, adding that  €3.11bn ($3.76bn) credit line facility for the liq-
                         the company’s numbers were mostly in line  uefaction project earlier this year, but they have
                         with their expectations. Whereas Novatek  now increased this to €5.7bn. ™







       Sibur grows revenues 67%



       to $3bn in 3Q21





        RUSSIA           RUSSIAN petrochemical major Sibur posted
                         67% year-on-year and 12% quarter-on-quarter
       BCS Global Markets   revenue growth to $3bn in 3Q21 under IFRS,
       expects Sibur to   with EBITDA soaring 125% y/y to $1.5bn at a
       maintain conservative   margin of 48%.
       credit metrics given   In the reporting quarter of 3Q21, the mid-
       potential synergy from   stream segment (LPG, naphtha, natural gas, etc.)
       the merger with TAIF.  was the main contributor to quarterly growth in
                         EBITDA amid favourable pricing, BCS Global
                         Markets commented.
                           As followed by bne IntelliNews,  Sibur has
                         closed a deal to take over 100% of its Tatarstan
                         based rival TAIF. The combined business will be
                         one of the five biggest producers of polyolefin
                         and rubber products in the world.  
                           The company generated free cash flow (FCF)
                         of $1.2bn (+91% q/q), which was fully paid out as
                         dividends for the quarter. As part of the deal with
                         TAIF, Sibur also divested its stake in NIPIGAS, a
                         non-core asset, via the distributions of shares to   "Setting aside the potential synergy from the
                         shareholders.                        deal, we expect SIBUR’s credit profile to remain
                           BCS Global Markets expects Sibur to main-  strong with gross leverage below 2.0x in the short
                         tain conservative credit metrics given potential  term, amid favourable market conditions. How-
                         synergy from the merger with TAIF and positive  ever, the construction of the Amur Gas Chemi-
                         market environment, with the combined results  cal Complex, coupled with generous dividends,
                         of Sibur and TAIF to be reflected in the full-year  may lead to a moderate increase in leverage in
                         2021 IFRS report.                    the medium term," in BCS GM's analysts' view.™



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