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DMEA                                          COMMENTARY                                               DMEA




       Security risks





       on the rise in





       Mozambique






       Militants seize control of Mocimboa da Praia, the
       main port of entry for Mozambique LNG supplies.





        AFRICA           MOZAMBIQUE’S plans for developing off-  began filling the government’s coffers.
                         shore natural gas resources recently took a step   But there are obstacles on the path to success
                         forward, with the signing of a $14.9bn loan deal  – and one of them has grown more urgent dur-
       WHAT:             between multiple banks and the Mozambique  ing the last week.

       Unrest in northern   LNG consortium. The credit will cover most of
       Mozambique has the   the $20bn that the group expects to spend on  Confl ict considerations

       potential to affect the   upstream activity at the offshore Area 1 and on  All of the LNG consortia mentioned above are
       Mozambique LNG project.  the construction of a gas liquefaction plant and  working in northern Mozambique, not far from
                         associated infrastructure.           the border with Tanzania.
       WHY:                As such, it will put Mozambique LNG, led   The area has been restive for some time,
       Total and other investors   by France’s Total, on the road to beginning gas  owing to disputes between the region and the
       in LNG projects are likely   extraction and LNG production on schedule  national government. About three years ago,
       to press forward, but   in 2024. By extension, it will also help convince  though, the unrest began expanding to include
       they may have to make   other investors and lenders that Mozambican  attacks by Islamist groups, including Ahlu Sun-
       new transportation and   LNG projects – not just ongoing projects such  nah Wa-Jamo (ASWJ), which has links to the
       security arrangements.  as Coral South LNG and Rovuma LNG, both of  Islamic State (Daesh).

                         which will rely on gas from the offshore Area 4,   To date, more than 1,000 people have been
       WHAT NEXT:        but also future initiatives – are worth supporting.  killed by the insurgents.

       If the conflict drags on   Likewise, if additional gas projects go for-  The country’s armed forces, known as FDS,

       or escalates, the target   ward, they will drum up demand for services  have been trying to contain the violence and
       dates for LNG production   that local companies can provide, such as trans-  push back against militants seeking to establish
       may have to be pushed   portation, construction and hospitality. This,  an Islamic caliphate.

       back.             in turn, would allow the Mozambican private   They have had limited success, not least

                         sector to grow and flourish, even as gas revenues  because they lack the ammunition and other




























       P6                                       www. NEWSBASE .com                         Week 33   20•August•2020
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