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NorthAmOil                                    COMMENTARY                                          NorthAmOil








































                           The next largest US player after the super-ma-  Canadian players were now moving to restore all
                         jors, ConocoPhillips, posted an adjusted sec-  of the output they had curtailed.
                         ond-quarter loss of $1bn, or $0.92 per share   Imperial, for its part, noted that it had
                         – wider than analysts’ average expectations of a  revised its schedule for turnaround activities in
                         loss of $0.58 per share. The company’s per-bar-  response to COVID-19, which resulted in its sec-
                         rel earnings more than halved, as crude average  ond-quarter production falling to 347,000 bar-
                         prices crashed by over 50% early in the second  rels of oil equivalent per day from 400,000 boepd
                         quarter.                             a year ago. The company has extended some of
                           However, ConocoPhillips is now in the pro-  its plans to operate certain assets at reduced rates
                         cess of restoring the output it curtailed in April  into the third quarter.
                         – which accounts for about a third of its total pro-  South of the border, meanwhile, shale drillers
                         duction – in response to the crude price collapse.  are also cautiously returning curtailed output to
                         The company expects production curtailments  the market – but are well-positioned to shut in
                         in the third quarter to be roughly half as much as  additional barrels if market conditions require
                         in the previous quarter and said it would restore  it.
                         most of its output by the end of September.  Pioneer said it had curtailed roughly 7,000
                                                              bpd of net production in the second quarter and
                         What next?                           expected to keep roughly 6,000 bpd of this offline  ConocoPhillips is
                         ConocoPhillips is one of a growing number of  in the current price environment. The company
                         North American companies that are gradually  said it was making decisions on returning cur-  one of a growing
                         restoring curtailed production as relatively sta-  tailed production to the market on a well-by-well   number of
                         ble crude prices help boost industry confidence.  basis.
                         Indeed, the price of WTI has stayed around $40   Continental, meanwhile, said it was ready   North American
                         per barrel since the start of July, and has crept  to resume most of its curtailed produc-
                         above $42 per barrel this week. However, some  tion. However, the company – which shut  companies that
                         of these companies have cautioned that activity  in around 70% of its output in the spring –
                         will not be quick to ramp up unless crude prices  warned that US oil production growth would   are gradually
                         rise further.                        only be moderate unless crude prices rose to   restoring
                           In Canada, Husky has said it has the capacity  $50-60 per barrel.
                         to ramp up production in the third quarter, as   Continental said its costs for resuming pro-  curtailed
                         about 30,000 barrels per day (bpd) of its crude  duction were running at about $1,500 per well,
                         output remain curtailed across the US and West-  and that reopened wells were yielding double   production.
                         ern Canada.                          their previous flow rates. The company is a
                           Across Alberta – Canada’s leading oil-produc-  major producer in North Dakota’s Bakken play.
                         ing province – around 1mn bpd of production  If its findings are replicated by other shale drill-
                         was curtailed this spring, with Western Cana-  ers as they restart production, this could slow
                         dian prices suffering as they already trade at a  them from rushing into new drilling if return-
                         discount to WTI. But Suncor Energy, a leading  ing existing wells to service results in increased
                         Canadian producer, said in late July that Western  rates initially.™



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