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NorthAmOil                                    COMMENTARY                                          NorthAmOil




       Venezuelan sanctions





       to stay in place







       A White House official has indicated that the

       Biden administration will not make any major

       changes on this front



        US-VENEZUELA     FORMER US President Donald Trump made a  “No rush” to ditch sanctions
                         point of imposing increasingly strict sanctions  Additionally, a White House official told Reuters
       WHAT:             on Venezuela and its oil industry. As a result,  in late February that the president was in “no
       Biden is in “no rush” to   Trump’s failure to secure re-election in 2020 has  rush” to eliminate sanctions on Venezuela. He
       eliminate sanctions on   given rise to speculation that his successor, Joe  also indicated that no major changes were likely
       Caracas, a White House   Biden, might soften Washington’s stance towards  in the short term, as existing policies left enough
       official says.    Caracas.                             room to enable the delivery of humanitarian aid.
                           Rumours to this effect gained some traction   The official, who spoke on condition of ano-
       WHY:              partly because of the Biden administration’s  nymity, said that Biden did not want to copy
       Washington believes   appointment of Juan Gonzalez as special  Trump’s “maximum-pressure” approach, as
       current policy leaves   advisor to the president and senior director  it involved too much in the way of unilateral
       enough room for   for the Western Hemisphere at the National  action to put pressure on Venezuela. He also
       humanitarian aid   Security Council (NSC). Gonzalez had writ-  stated that Washington would consider sof-
       shipments.        ten in mid-2020 that Biden did not want to  tening restrictions on trade with Caracas and
                         rely too heavily on sanctions as an instrument  investment in that country’s oil sector if Maduro
       WHAT NEXT:        of policy. In an article published by Americas  took steps to demonstrate openness to negotia-
       US authorities may have   Quarterly, he called for “intelligent sanctions”  tions with the political opposition.
       to decide soon whether   and said the US should make more multilat-  “We’re in no rush to lift sanctions,” he told
       to follow Trump’s lead in   eral efforts to push for democratic change in  Reuters. “If the regime undertakes confi-
       going after a wider range   Venezuela.                 dence-building measures that show that they’re
       of companies involved in   Since then, a number of persons affiliated  ready and willing to engage in real conversations
       trading Venezuelan oil.  with the Biden campaign and the new admin-  with the opposition ... if they’re ready to take
                         istration have indicated that the new president  serious steps, then we will consider the allevi-
                         would not follow Trump’s lead, especially with  ation of sanctions.”
                         respect to the delivery of humanitarian aid.   The official did not say what steps Maduro   The official did
                         Likewise, there have been rumours that Biden’s  would have to take to gain the Biden adminis-
                         team might backtrack on the previous adminis-  tration’s confidence. He stressed, though, that   not say what
                         tration’s decision to clamp down on swap deals  the president and his team would be looking   steps Maduro
                         that allowed Venezuela to exchange crude oil for  out for signs that the Venezuelan president was
                         supplies of fuel.                    engaged in “delaying tactics” – that is, using   would have to
                           Recently, though, the Biden administra-  bilateral talks as a way to divide opposition
                         tion has given some clear indications that its  forces and consolidate his own power.  take to gain
                         policy towards Venezuela will not be signif-  Additionally, he indicated that US authorities
                         icantly different from that of its predecessor.  did not have much confidence that Maduro was   the Biden
                         It has, for example, stated that it will continue  prepared to meet that Washington’s conditions.   administration’s
                         Trump’s policy of treating opposition leader  He told Reuters that the Venezuelan govern-
                         Juan Guaido as Venezuela’s legitimate head of  ment had been “actively preventing the delivery   confidence.
                         state. (Guaido was named interim president  of humanitarian assistance.”
                         in early 2019, shortly after President Nicolas
                         Maduro was declared the winner of an election  Broad continuity of policy
                         that has been widely described as fraudulent.  The official’s statements seem to indicate that there
                         The European Union and other international  will be broad continuity of policy with respect to
                         groups have now accepted Maduro’s conten-  US sanctions on Venezuela, despite the election of
                         tion that Guaido lost all claim to control over  a new president. It does remain to be seen, though,
                         Venezuela’s parliament in elections held last  how Biden and his team will react to Maduro’s
                         December.)                           ongoing efforts to evade trade restrictions.



       P6                                       www. NEWSBASE .com                         Week 10   12•March•2021
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