Page 9 - DMEA Week 38 2021
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DMEA                                          COMPANIES                                               DMEA



                           “This will be done through a mix of energy  long-term human capital plans – managing a
                         and process efficiencies, investments in renew-  natural transition of people involved in fossil
                         ables and a shift to incremental natural gas as a  fuels related activities and investing in reskilling
                         transition feedstock for our Southern African  for the needs of a low carbon economy in the
                         value chain. These solutions are well known and  future,” said Grobler.
                         mostly under our control, and the investments
                         required are cost-effective, preserving strong  Funding for the new direction
                         returns in our business, above the cost of capital.”  Sasol also explained it would self-fund the tran-
                           Beyond 2030, Sasol has more than one viable  sition, while delivering sustainable returns. It
                         pathway to get to its net-zero ambition by 2050,  said its refocused strategy is “underpinned by
                         with different options to transform its Southern  a financial framework that will enable the com-
                         Africa value chain by progressively shifting its  pany to grow shared value, while accelerating its
                         feedstock away from coal, towards more transi-  transition, as sustainable and resilient dividends
                         tion gas, and then green hydrogen and sustain-  are restored to our shareholders.”
                         able carbon over the longer term, as economics   Paul Victor, Sasol’s group chief financial
                         improve for these options.           officer, believed a clear and updated capital allo-
                           “In an uncertain future, this approach offers  cation framework from Sasol and a good govern-
                         agility and enables us to pivot as cost-effective  ance structure will ensure effective and efficient
                         mitigation levers become available. We are also  decision-making to navigate all the capital deci-
                         avoiding infrastructure lock-in and regret capital  sions it faced in delivering “Future Sasol”.
                         spend,” said Grobler.                  In the short to medium term, the first phase
                           Sasol’s proprietary Fischer-Tropsch (FT)  up to 2025 will see Sasol strengthen its balance
                         technology, in particular, is well-suited to play-  sheet, while improving cost-competitiveness
                         ing a meaningful role in a low-carbon future,  and ability to increase cash flow generation in a
                         with attractive new and emerging value pools,  low oil price scenario. Sasol targets to improve
                         it said.                             return on invested capital (ROIC) to between 12
                           “Against this backdrop, we are setting up a  and 15% in this period.
                         new business, Sasol ecoFT, with the intent to   The second phase in the short to medium
                         build on our technology leadership, to establish  term up to 2030 prioritises the balance between
                         a significant market position internationally.  returns and investing in Sasol’s transition
                         One of the first applications for the technology  plan. In this period up to 2030, Sasol plans
                         is likely to be sustainable aviation fuels, where  to invest between ZAR20bn to ZAR25bn
                         new regulations are driving demand, and exist-  ($1.35bn-$1.69bn) per annum to maintain its
                         ing technology and feedstocks have limitations  asset base, comply with all relevant environ-
                         that FT can address.”                mental and air quality regulations, as well as fund
                                                              the transition to reach the 30% GHG emissions
                         Disruption in the industry           reduction target.
                         Sasol noted that as global economies trans-  This includes a total of ZAR15bn to ZAR25bn
                         form their energy systems, this will disrupt  in aggregate transformation capital up to 2030,
                         industry, shift value pools and job markets, and  while targeted ROIC is anticipated to be above
                         require diverse skills and capabilities in different  15%.
                         geographies.                           “The overall Sasol group return profile will
                           Sasol will progress a just transition across its  continue to improve significantly and remains
                         geographical footprint, with the aim of protect-  attractive – there is a clear pathway through to
                         ing and fostering employment opportunities  higher returns while we achieve our climate
                         by accelerating the development of new energy  change objectives,” added Victor.
                         value pools.                           Dividends will be resumed once key triggers
                           South Africa in particular holds significant  are reached and there is confidence that these
                         promise for renewables and low-cost green  returns delivered to shareholders are sustainable
                         hydrogen production for own use and export  based on the prevailing outlook at that time. The
                         opportunities, it stated.            minimum pay-out of 2.8 times or 36% of Core
                           “This will require national plans to be estab-  Headline Earnings per share will be triggered
                         lished by industry stakeholders and government  when a leverage ratio of 1.5 times Net Debt to
                         to develop opportunities, maximise localisa-  EBITDA is reached and the absolute debt level
                         tion opportunities to create jobs and economic  is below $5bn.
                         wealth.”                               The step-up to 2.5 times or 40% of Core HEPS
                           Grobler said the biggest impact on South  will follow when absolute net debt levels reduce
                         Africa’s workforce would to be after 2030. “This  to below $4bn. The regular dividend will be
                         needs to be anticipated now, with the right  maintained in this range.™












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