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21 century m'zuŋ u ‘neo-colonialism’
Control through Dependency
might either 'blown apart' or else diverted to war-time needs and circumstances, whilst
continental USA, free from enemy action had been able to build up super-large
manufacturing capacity.

Recent decades have seen a rebalancing as other industrial nations ‘built back’ their
economic capacity together and this together with the rise of Asian and other economies

has already led to a halving of USA share of global GDP. Its now about 20%.
Over the next 2 decades, USA share of global GDP is projected to become 13%. With

China at 16%, India at 14% and Indonesia at 12%. And this tells us much about the future

shaping of world politics and international power-play.
We are moving to a period of regional middle-powers. Each claiming its own sphere of

influence.
Asia, and particularly SE Asia will dominate the global economy. Three of the world’s

largest economies will be Asian. But they represent 3 different 'constituencies'. 2 (India and

Indonesia) separated by religion. India with geographical barriers (The Himalayas and Oceans)
from China and Indonesia. China and Indonesia, separated only by a vast expanse of sea

facing each other as potential competitors for the same extended 'domestic market'.And

Indonesia a competitor with 3 other theocratic states (Saudi Arabia, Iran and Turkey) for the
perceived leadership of a religion that already claims 30% of the world's population.

The powers and super-powers of the 20 century will be forever scrambling to hold on
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to whatever they can. And all of this impacts in a way that will continue a neo-colonialist
approach to Africa.

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The Russian Federation
Russia can be expected to seek ‘control’ over a number of Africa’s ‘least developed’
nations. Given that many of these are also ‘landlocked’ this has the potential to create
political instability in neighbouring countries.
Pride wounded by failures in Ukraine, military prestige damaged for probably more

than a single generation, Russian oligarchs will be less willing to co-operate with western
nations. They can be expected to be disruptors on the world stage and exploiters of

African riches.

Russia and its oligarchs are already lining up African countries to be controlled
through some sort of ‘military dependence’ on Russia.