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21 century m'zuŋ u ‘neo-colonialism’
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Control through Dependency
"Chinese Debt Relief: Fact and Fiction." 215
The Diplomat (April 2020)
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Dance of the lions and dragons
How are Africa and China engaging, and how will the partnership evolve?

In doing this work, we have also come to a few predictions-informed but still judgment

based views on what might happen.

 Some African countries will default on Chinese debt
 There will be winners and losers as approximately five manufacturing clusters
emerge in Africa.

 Half of the incumbent family-owned businesses (for example, in East Africa) will
die.
 Africa will experience a China-led digital revolution.

 As Chinese economic growth slows, investment flows to Africa will accelerate
“Dance of the lions & Dragons” 216
McKinsey & Company (June 2017)
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France

France never left Africa. From the earliest colonisation of Africa as part of building a
strategic empire, through the times of EurAfrica and Francafrique, France has never given

up its pursuit of an Africa that is a part of France.

No matter which politician becomes President, no matter the colour of the current
French government, in a time of shrinking shares of global GDP, there is no real prospect of

France making any change towards Africa that might lead to any undermining of France's
perceived self- interest.

Throughout its African ex-colonies, France is as active as ever in building African

'dependency' on France. Militarily and economically. The recently vaunted changes in the
CAF, some 60 years after 'independence', have been widely derided as being more symbolic

than substantial as even after the changes take place, France still has an effective

stranglehold on African monetary policy.
The only prospect for removing French neo-colonialism would be through a pan-

African response. The AU is a vastly different beast from the 'African Unity' of earlier

decades, but it will be some time before it has the capacity and leverage needed to provide