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REFLECTIONS ON THE SOUTH AFRICAN



        GOVERNMENT’S 2023 BUDGET SPEECH


























        Glen Robbins                  Luke Muller

             outh Africa’s Minister   Energy Matters                energy, ports, rail, roads, and   In the coming weeks it is   ABOUT TWIMS
             of Finance, Enoch         Probably the stand-out feature   water provision were heighted as   important to take a close look
        SGodongwana, presented        – and one against which much   areas of priority. The Minister also   at the policy statements of the
        the government’s 2023 Budget   of Government’s actions will   signaled, as his predecessors often   Minister of Trade, Industry and   Established by the Toyota
        to Parliament on 22 February.   be measured in the coming   have, that attention would be paid   Competition and those of other   Wessels Trust, the Toyota
                                                                    to enhancing the performance
        Glen Robbins and Luke Muller   years – was the attention paid to   of municipalities. One can hope   ministers with scope to  influence   Wessels Institute for
        went through the budget       electricity matters. The scheme   that those running municipalities   the manufacturing terrain. More   Manufacturing Studies
        material and have highlighted   enabling accelerated deductions   will take heed. On this theme,   will have to be done with less   (TWIMS) is a not-for-profit
        some of the features that could   for renewable energy investment   environmental disaster matters did   resources, and this will inevitably   initiative dedicated to the
        be of interest to the wider   by businesses was widely expected.  receive some support. Businesses   require deeper partnerships with   development of manufacturing
        manufacturing ecosystem in    It can potentially support better   will hope that at least some of this   private actors. The coming years   executives in Africa. We are an
        the country.                  resilience in firms and lower   will translate into actual projects to   will be a real test of this. Business   open institution, welcoming
          The 2023 Budget shows that of   carbon emissions in supply chains.  rehabilitate infrastructure in and   organisations will need to mobilise   in students from all industries
                                                                                                  their resources to both hold
        the allocated R1,897 billion in   The Minister stated that, “Under   around industrial areas.  government to account, and to be   and backgrounds.
        expenditure, over R700 billion   the expanded incentive, businesses                       more active in supporting areas   TWIMS’ world-class facilities
        will go towards the public    will be able to claim a 125%   Personal Tax                 where delivery has been failing.   and staff place it at the centre of
        service wage bill and R346    deduction in the first year for all   Whilst personal tax matters   Investments and their related job   a manufacturing community
        billion will be allocated to old   renewable-energy projects with no   are not always raised in the   creation going forward will have   dedicated to value creation
        age grants, social security funds,   thresholds on generation capacity.”  context of the manufacturing   to be private sector driven.  and societal transformation.
        child support grants and other    Furthermore, National Treasury   sector, many of the more than                         The TWIMS campus is
        grants. A further R50 billion is    will work with the banks to direct   two million people employed in   State Delivery  part 21st century build and
        spent on the National Student   lending to support much needed   manufacturing and supporting   This budget speech should
        Financial Aid Scheme. The     renewable energy investments for   sectors, such as logistics, will   perhaps be appreciated for the   associated technology, and
        little that is then left over   small and medium enterprises.  appreciate the modest relief in   intent to focus government   part refurbished historical
        has been thinly spread over    Still on energy matters, the   tax burdens with the shifting up   on trying to get the proverbial   grandeur. Situated on a tranquil
        other government functions    Minister’s assertion that National   of tax brackets. Some too will   nuts-and-bolts in place for better   corner of our campus, the
        and infrastructure upkeep.    Treasury will more actively   appreciate the prospect of the   state delivery. That said, it was   TWIMS accommodation
        In addition, the government’s   support Eskom’s recovery, with   somewhat meagre tax rebate for   not a budget to help the country   offers students quality,
        debt service costs will jump to   both the carrot of shifting debt   citizens seeking to install some                    affordable accommodation
                                                                    roof-top solar at their homes. For  see much beyond the horizon
        R340.5 billion, driven by rising   off Eskom’s books and with the                         of the constrained medium-     and sumptuous breakfasts in a
        global interest rates and the   stick of increased controls and   business in the manufacturing   term expenditure framework. It   pristine park-like environment. 
                                                                    sector, it might well be a
        partial take-over of Eskom debt.  surveillance, will hopefully   relief, that in a context of the   was also a budget that cut real   The staff are passionate
                                      help stabilise the parastatal’s
          In this context, it is no                                 considerable fiscal pressures on   spending in some key social   individuals dedicated to
        surprise that the budget      operational performance. While   the state, corporate tax rates   areas. These measures impact   delivering a world class
        speech was, if anything, a    the Eskom debt arrangements   have not been adjusted upwards.  also on business in that they   experience to you.
        placeholder, a device to support   are not fixed investment, they                         can translate into challenges for   We provide formal
        Government’s attempts to shore   do potentially support other   Economic Policy           employees and their families,   academic courses through
        up the state, its services and   measures to encourage a diversity   With a low-ambition budget such  whether it be accessing health   our partnership with
        the weak economy. This Budget   of energy supply investments in   as this, especially one that steers   care or affordable transport.   Gordon Institute of Business
                                      the country, including for the
        was clearly not an attempt to                               clear of many areas of controversy   Getting South Africa’s
        frame a visionary structural   increasingly inadequate national   (think reserve bank mandates   development prospects back on   Science (GIBS), as well as
        shift. Under the circumstances   grid. This could better support   etc.), there is perhaps a relief that   track is still very much a work-  a range of non-academic
                                      access to energy for businesses and
        the pragmatists that tend to   could also help stimulate demand   the Minister did not engage in   in-progress.          short courses.
        find a home in manufacturing   for those businesses in the supply   a Don Quixote-type crusade.   Note: This note was prepared by
        would suggest that a mundane   chain of energy projects, from   In previous years, ministers of   Glen Robbins and Luke Muller
        budget was probably better than   construction materials through   finance have often sought to give   with input from Mbongeni
        one that sought to shake the   to the assembly of solar panels.   direction on matters of economic   Ndlovu and Liesel Kassier.
        foundations. For those harking   The growing role for private   policy. This was not one of those   The views in this note do not
        back to the expansive claims in   investment in this space is already   budget speeches. However, of   necessarily reflect those of
        budgets of Trevor Manuel, there   taking hold and could further   some concern, efforts to stimulate   the Toyota Wessels Institute
        was not much vision in this   bolster demand for inputs as well   the industrial base of the economy,   of Manufacturing Studies
        budget and certainly no poetry.  as diversity energy supply options.  whether through encouraging   (TWIMS). During the year
                                                                    foreign direct investment or
          On the positive side, apart                               supporting local firm investment,   TWIMS will convene a diversity   SCAN
        from the budget’s predictability,   Infrastructure          did not really feature. Perhaps   of engagements, both on matters   QR CODE
        there was considerable attention   The 2023 budget also highlighted   the general thrust of President   covered in the budget, and on   TO SEE
        paid to matters that exercise the   efforts around some growth in   Ramaphosa’s State of the Nation   those left out. 
        minds of people working in and   levels of infrastructure spending, as  Address was deemed sufficient a                   VIDEO
        running businesses.           modest as they might be. Beyond   signal in this regard.    www.twimsafrica.com




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