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STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
Guardian Place II Sensitivity Analysis Richmond, VA
PURCHASE PRICE SENSITIVITY CAP RATE SENSITIVITY
Purchase Price Going-In Cap Rate¹
$ 11,700,000 $ 12,300,000 $ 12,985,602 $ 13,600,000 $ 14,300,000 4.16% 4.41% 4.66% 4.91% 5.16%
Per Unit $ 101,739 $ 106,957 $ 112,918 $ 118,261 $ 124,348 Per Unit $ 126,486 $ 119,318 $ 112,918 $ 107,170 $ 101,979
Per sf $ 162 $ 170 $ 180 $ 188 $ 198 Per sf $ 201 $ 190 $ 180 $ 171 $ 162
Going-In Cap Rate¹ 5.17% 4.92% 4.66% 4.45% 4.23% Purchase Price $ 14,545,908 $ 13,721,541 $ 12,985,602 $ 12,324,587 $ 11,727,609
Returns Year 1 Cash on Cash 6.75% 6.13% 5.49% 4.96% 4.41% Returns / Price Year 1 Cash on Cash 4.22% 4.86% 5.49% 6.11% 6.72%
5.88%
5.84%
6.81%
3.26%
Post-Renov. C-o-C²
2.98%
3.95%
4.91%
4.91%
4.10%
Post-Renov. C-o-C²
6.76%
9.73%
8.17%
9.76%
9.00%
6.70%
Unleveraged IRR
6.44%
8.17%
7.46%
7.33%
8.97%
Unleveraged IRR
Leveraged IRR 16.49% 15.04% 13.43% 12.00% 10.41% Leveraged IRR 9.85% 11.73% 13.43% 14.99% 16.42%
Equity Multiple 3.66x 3.34x 3.00x 2.72x 2.42x Equity Multiple 2.32x 2.67x 3.00x 3.33x 3.65x
¹ Based on Pro Forma NOI ² In Year 4 (the first full year following completion of all renovations) ¹ Based on Pro Forma NOI ² In Year 4 (the first full year following completion of all renovations)
STARTING MARKET RENT (PER UNIT) UNLEVERAGED INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN AND EQUITY MULTIPLE
Starting Market Rent ($/SF) Exit Cap Rate
$ 1.34 $ 1.41 $ 1.49 $ 1.56 $ 1.63 4.00% 4.25% 4.50% 4.75% 5.00%
% Incr./Decr. (10.00%) (5.00%) - 5.00% 10.00% 8.17%
10 years
1.93x
Studio $ 784 - $ 828 - $ 871 - $ 915 - $ 959 - 3 years 14.77% 1.48x 12.61% 1.40x 10.61% 1.33x 8.77% 1.27x 7.04% 1.21x
1 Bedroom
Floor Plans 2 Bedroom $ 972 - $ 1,026 - $ 1,080 - $ 1,134 - $ 1,188 - Hold Period 5 years 11.53% 1.65x 10.33% 1.57x 9.21% 1.49x 8.16% 1.43x 7.18% 1.37x
3 Bedroom
4+ Bedroom
-
-
-
-
-
7 years 10.18% 9.37% 8.61% 7.90% 7.24%
1.83x 1.74x 1.66x 1.60x 1.53x
9.19% 8.66% 8.17% 7.71% 7.28%
10 years
2.11x 2.02x 1.93x 1.86x 1.79x
RETURN SUMMARY LEVERAGED INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN AND EQUITY MULTIPLE
Starting Market Rent ($/SF) Exit Cap Rate
$ 1.34 $ 1.41 $ 1.49 $ 1.56 $ 1.63 4.00% 4.25% 4.50% 4.75% 5.00%
Returns Unleveraged IRR 5.15% 10.40% 13.43% 16.11% 10.76% 10 years 30.71% 25.81% 13.43% 3.00x 16.55% 12.11%
9.51%
6.72%
8.17%
18.54%
6.88%
Leveraged IRR
3.00x
4.15x
Equity Multiple
2.42x
21.11%
1.85x
3.57x
3 years
Yields Cash on Cash Yield¹ 4.24% 4.78% 5.32% 5.86% 6.40% Hold Period 5 years 21.78% 2.15x 19.30% 1.92x 16.90% 1.72x 14.56% 1.54x 12.27% 1.38x
Unleveraged Yield¹
1.69x
1.86x
4.91%
3.34%
1.77%
2.05x
8.04%
2.50x
6.47%
2.26x
7 years 18.05% 2.88x 16.49% 2.63x 14.99% 2.41x 13.53% 2.21x 12.10% 2.03x
$ 17,250,089
$ 19,242,713
Exit Price
$ 15,257,465
$ 23,227,962
$ 21,235,338
Pricing per unit $ 132,674 $ 150,001 $ 167,328 $ 184,655 $ 201,982 10 years 15.24% 3.50x 14.31% 3.23x 13.43% 3.00x 12.57% 2.79x 11.74% 2.60x
per sf
$ 322
$ 266
$ 239
$ 294
$ 211
¹ Post renovation (Year 4)
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