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15.3 Listing all possible outcomes


               15.3 Listing all possible outcomes

                                                                                              blue dice
               If you throw two dice together, what is the
               probability of getting a double six?                                 1     2    3    4     5    6
               To find out, you need a list of all the possible outcomes.       1  1, 1  1, 2  1, 3  1, 4  1, 5  1, 6
               You could use a table.
                                                                                2  2, 1  2, 2  2, 3  2, 4  2, 5  2, 6
               Suppose you have a red dice and a blue one.
               Draw the table like this.                                  red   3  3, 1  3, 2  3, 3  3, 4  3, 5  3, 6
                                                                          dice     4, 1  4, 2  4, 3  4, 4  4, 5  4, 6
               This shows that there are 36 mutually exclusive outcomes.        4
               If the dice are thrown fairly, the outcomes are all equally likely.  5  5, 1  5, 2  5, 3  5, 4  5, 5  5, 6
               The probability of a double six is   1  .                        6  6, 1  6, 2  6, 3  6, 4  6, 5  6, 6
                                               36


                                                                                 Outcomes are mutually exclusive if
                                                                                 only one of them can happen.


                Worked example 15.3

                Two fair dice are thrown and the scores are added.
                What is the probability of scoring a total of:
                a 8        b  less than 8      c  8 or more?

                This table shows the possible totals.   This table is based on the outcome table above.
                       1   2    3   4    5    6
                  1    2   3    4   5    6    7
                  2    3   4    5   6    7    8
                  3    4   5    6   7    8    9
                  4    5   6    7   8    9   10
                  5    6   7    8   9    10  11
                  6    7   8    9   10   11  12
                     5
                a                  The five 8s have been circled in the table.
                    36
                b   21  =  7       There are 21 numbers in the table less than 8.
                    36   12
                    15   5
                c      =           There are 15 numbers that are 8 or more.
                    36   12


               ✦     Exercise 15.3


               1  Xavier throws two fair dice together. What is the probability of scoring:
                  a  two fours     b no fours       c exactly one four?

               2  Mia throws two fair dice and adds the scores.
                  a  What is the smallest possible total?
                  b  What is the largest possible total?                       There are eleven possible totals so the
                                                                                                      1
                  c   What is wrong with Mia’s argument                           probability of a total of 3 is   11  .
                     on the right?
      152      15 Probability
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