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Creative Insight Writ Large              133

            not to choose between them but to discern which flavor best explains any
            one phenomenon. A complex system is likely to be characterized by multiple
            potential scaling variables and we cannot know before we conduct the rele-
            vant analysis which scaling flavor is operating for a particular system and a
            particular variable.
               Regardless of which flavor applies in a particular case, there is no reason
            to expect processes at level N to explain all patterns at N+1. Novel phenomena
            and patterns are likely to emerge at the higher levels, limiting the explana-
            tory power of events at the lower levels and requiring explanation in terms
            of processes and mechanisms that are unique to the higher levels. Applied to
            the production of novelty, these observations generate three questions: Which
            characteristics  of  insight  project  onto  higher  levels  of  scale?  What  are  the
            mechanisms  of  projection?  Which  novel  characteristics  and  mechanisms
            emerge at the higher levels?
               The production of novelty in significant projects differs from problem
            solutions observed in laboratory studies along at least three dimensions: the
            complexity  of  the  tasks  undertaken,  the  time  required  to  complete  them
            and the number of people engaged. For lack of a better term, I will refer to
            the third dimension as collectivity. The upper levels of time and collectivity
            merge in history, which in turn is a single event on the evolutionary time
            scale.


                        SCALING ACROSS TIME AND COMPLEXITY
            There  is  no  widely  accepted  metric  of  cognitive  complexity  and  no  natu-
            ral levels of complexity present themselves to intuition. Was the invention
            of radar more or less complex than the discovery of the structure of DNA?
            Perhaps cognitive psychologists will one day specify system levels that are
            as distinct as the cell-organism-species levels in biology or the atom-mole-
            cule-substance levels in chemistry, but they have not yet done so. However,
            by whatever measure, insight puzzles are less complex than significant cre-
            ative projects. If so, to what extent are the principles introduced in Chapter
            4 helpful in understanding the unfolding of creative projects? Do the pos-
            tulated processes scale up from laboratory tasks with few components and
            short solutions to scientific discoveries, technological inventions and works
            of art? Because the theory of insight is built on top of the theory of analytical
            problem solving, the natural approach is to verify that the latter is relevant,
            document the occurrence of impasses and insights and then inquire into the
            mechanisms of scaling.
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