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                  620                   CHAPTER 15   RISK AND INFORMATION

                             LEARNING-BY-DOING EXERCISE 15.3
                       S
                    E  D
                             Computing the Risk Premium from a Utility Function
                             Let’s return to the salary lottery that we  lottery, one payoff (I 1 ) is $104,000, the other payoff (I 2 )
                  just discussed and suppose that your utility function is  is $4,000, the probability of each payoff is 0.50, and the
                  given by U   1I.  (This generates a graph very similar  expected value is $54,000. Find the risk premium by
                  to that in Figure 15.9.)                         solving equation (15.2) for RP:
                  Problem                                             0.501104,000   0.5014,000   154,000   RP

                  (a) Find the risk premium associated with the start-up                 192.87   154,000   RP
                  company’s salary offer.                          Squaring both sides of this equation and rounding to the

                  (b) Suppose that the start-up company offered you a  nearest whole number gives 37,199   54,000   RP, or
                  zero salary but a bonus of $108,000 if the company  RP   16,801.
                  meets its growth targets. (This has the same expected  (b) In this case,  I 1   $0 and  I 2   $108,000, so
                  value but a higher variance than the initial offer, as you  equation  (15.2) becomes  0.5010   0.501108,000
                  can easily verify.) What is the risk premium associated  154,000   RP,  or RP   27,000. (This confirms that as
                  with this offer?                                 the variance of a lottery increases, holding the expected
                                                                   value fixed,  so does the risk premium.)
                  Solution
                                                                   Similar Problems:   15.12, 15.14, 15.15
                  (a) Recall equation (15.2):  pU(I 1 )    (1    p)U(I 2 )
                  U(EV   RP). Also recall that for the start-up job offer


                                        WHEN WOULD A RISK-AVERSE PERSON CHOOSE
                                        TO ELIMINATE RISK? THE DEMAND FOR INSURANCE
                                        Our analysis of the risk premium tells us that a risk-averse individual will bear risk
                                        only if there is a sufficiently big reward for doing so. The logic of risk aversion also
                                        sheds light on the circumstances under which a risk-averse person would choose to
                                        eliminate risk by buying insurance.
                                           To illustrate, let’s imagine that you are risk averse and you have just purchased a
                                        new car. If all goes well—if the car works as planned and if you don’t have an accident—
                                        you will have $50,000 of income available for consumption of the goods and services
                                        that you would typically purchase over the course of a year. If, however, you have an
                                        accident and you are uninsured, you would expect to pay $10,000 for repairs. This
                                        would leave just $40,000 available for consumption of other goods and services. Let’s
                                        suppose that the probability of your having an accident is 0.05, so the probability of
                                        your not having an accident is 0.95. Thus, if you remain uninsured, you face a lottery:
                                        a 5 percent chance of $40,000 in disposable income and a 95 percent chance of
                                        $50,000 in disposable income.
                                           Let’s now suppose that you have the opportunity to buy $10,000 worth of annual
                                        insurance coverage at a total cost of $500 per year ($500 is called the insurance
                  fairly priced insurance  premium). Under this policy, the insurance company agrees to pay for up to $10,000
                  policy  An insurance
                  policy in which the insurance  worth of repairs on your automobile in the event that you have an accident. This
                  premium is equal to the   insurance policy has two notable features. First, it provides full coverage (up to
                                                                                                  5
                  expected value of the prom-  $10,000) for any damage you might suffer if you have an accident. Second, it is a
                  ised insurance payment.  fairly priced insurance policy. A fairly priced insurance policy is one in which the

                                        5 In the language of the insurance business, we would say that this policy fully indemnifies you against your loss.
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