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                                                                                                                CHAPTER 29
                                                                                                                          577
                                                                                        Public Choice Theory and the Economics of Taxation
                                 TABLE 29.2  The Probable Incidence of Taxes
                                   Type of Tax       Probable Incidence
                                   Personal income tax   The household or individual on which it is levied.
                                   Corporate income tax     Some economists conclude the fi rm on which it is levied bears the tax; others
                                                       conclude the tax is shifted, wholly or in part, to consumers and resource suppliers.
                                   Sales tax         Consumers who buy the taxed products.
                                   Specifi c excise taxes   Consumers, producers, or both, depending on elasticities of demand and supply.
                                   Property taxes      Owners in the case of land and owner-occupied residences; tenants in the case
                                                       of rented property; consumers in the case of business property.



                     would be reflected in the price the buyer is willing to offer      Table 29.2  summarizes this discussion of the shifting
                     for the land.                                       and incidence of taxes.
                          Taxes on rented and business property are a different
                     story. Taxes on rented property can be, and usually are,   The U.S. Tax Structure
                     shifted wholly or in part from the owner to the tenant by     Is the overall U.S. tax structure—Federal, state, and local
                     the process of boosting the rent. Business property taxes   taxes combined—progressive, proportional, or regressive?
                     are treated as a business cost and are taken into account in   This question is difficult to answer. Estimates of the distri-
                     establishing product price; hence such taxes are ordinarily   bution of the total tax burden depend on the extent to
                     shifted to the firm’s customers.                    which the various taxes are shifted to others, and who
                                                                         bears the ultimate burden is subject to dispute.  But the
                                                                         majority view of economists is as follows:
                                                                          •   The Federal tax system is progressive.  About one-
                              GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE 29.1                       third of filers of the Federal income tax owe no tax at
                                                                            all, and the average rates for the others rise with in-
                         Taxes on Goods and Services as a Percentage of     come.  In contrast, Federal payroll taxes and excise
                       Total Tax Revenues, Selected Nations                 taxes are regressive.  But the overall Federal tax rate
                         A number of industrial nations rely more heavily on goods and   is progressive. This rate is found by dividing the total
                       services taxes—sales taxes, value-added taxes, and specific   of Federal income taxes, payroll taxes, and excise
                       excise taxes—than does the United States. (A value-added tax   taxes by income. In 2004, the 20 percent of families
                       applies only to the difference between the value of a firm’s   with the lowest income paid an average overall Fed-
                       sales and the value of its purchases from other firms.)
                                                                            eral tax rate of 5.2 percent. The 20 percent with the
                                       Taxes on Goods and Services          highest income paid a 23.8 percent rate; the top
                                     (Percentage of Total Tax Receipts)     10 percent paid 24.9 percent, and the top 1 percent
                                                                                            2
                                     0  5   10  15  20  25  30  35          paid 26.7 percent.
                          United Kingdom                                    •    The state and local tax structures are largely regres-
                                                                            sive.  As a percentage of income, property taxes and
                            Netherlands
                                                                            sales taxes fall as income rises. Also, state income
                              Germany                                       taxes are generally less progressive than the Federal
                                  Italy                                     income tax.
                                                                            •    The overall U.S. tax system is slightly progressive.
                               Sweden
                                                                            Higher-income people carry a slightly larger tax
                                Canada
                                                                            burden, as a percentage of their income, than do
                                France                                      lower-income people.
                                                                            Caution: While the U.S. tax system does not substan-
                                 Japan
                                                                         tially alter the distribution of income, the system of
                           United States
                      Source: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development,
                                                                         2
                        www.oecd.org/ . Data are for 2002.                      Effective Federal Tax Rates under Current Law, 2001 – 2014,  Congressional
                                                                         Budget Office, August 2004.







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