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Chapter 15 • Business Financial Records



                           Numerous factors influence sales estimates. The specific operating and man-
                        agement factors of each company play an important part. Although one com-
                        pany may enjoy a high sales volume, another—at the same time and under the
                        same conditions—may suffer a decline in sales. Economic conditions are often
                        important in planning sales. If a good harvest and favorable prices for crops are
                        anticipated in a certain area, a company that sells farm machinery should have
                        good sales prospects in that area. A retail store in that same area might not
                        anticipate the same increase in sales if agricultural customers make up a small
                        percentage of their business. A major competitor entering a market for the first
                        time may have a significant effect on established but smaller businesses. These
                        are examples of some of the influences that should guide a manager in making
                        sales estimates.



                                     CHECKPOINT

                                     Why is it important for a business to prepare a cash budget and
                                     a capital budget?





                        Administering the Budget


                        Because a budget is an estimate of what might happen, it usually cannot be fol-
                        lowed exactly. Staying close to the amount budgeted is desirable. However, for
                        various reasons beyond the control of managers, actual income and expenses
                        may vary from the budgeted amounts. For that reason, managers often prepare
                        three budget estimates. The first estimate assumes that sales will be less than
                        expected. The second estimate considers what most likely will occur. And the
                        third estimate assumes sales will be better than expected.
                           The second estimate—the one most likely to occur—is followed unless antici-
                        pated conditions change. If sales are less than expected, the business can shift
                        immediately to the first (lower) set of budget figures. Should sales be better than
                        expected, the business can shift to the third (higher) set of budget figures. Having
                        more than one budget estimate allows for realistic flexibility during budget plan-
                        ning. It also forces managers to consider what might happen under favorable and
                        unfavorable conditions and to be better prepared for rapid changes.
                           Whether a business is large or small or uses one or more budgets, managers
                        must regularly use the budget to monitor ongoing operations and control expenses.
                        That monitoring activity determines whether the business is on, under, or over
                        budget. If expenditures exceed budgeted amounts, managers want to quickly
                        understand why so they can make necessary changes. Some adjustments may be
                        easy, whereas others may not even be possible. For example, labor costs might
                        exceed budget estimates for the planned level of production because a number
                        of new employees have been added who are not as productive as experienced
                        employees. Additional training for those employees might help improve produc-
                        tivity, reducing the labor costs required to meet production goals during the rest
                        of the budget period. However, if labor costs are higher than the budget because
                        of an unanticipated increase in the minimum wage paid to a number of employ-
                        ees, little can be done to lower those costs in the short run.
                           If a comparison of actual operating performance with the budget estimates
                        reveals that the business will not make the expected profit or will have a loss,
                        the manager must review the expenses to determine what can be done to reduce



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