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authors hypothesized that this effect
                                      3000
                                                                                             was likely due to the fact that women
                                   Number of areas (AMCs) covered by Globo signal  2000  Brazil  to the main female characters
                                                                                             between 25 and 44 were closer in age
                                                                                             in novelas, who typically had no
                                                                                             children or only a single child. The
                                                                                             depressive effect on fertility among
                                      1000
                                                                                             therefore attributed to wider spacing
                                         0                                                   women in areas served by Globo was
                                                                                             of births and earlier ending of repro-
                                            1965 1970     1980      1990     2000            duction, not to delaying the birth of
                                                             Year                            their first child.
                                                                                                 Further evidence for the influ-
                        Figure 1 The globo television network expanded over time and now reaches nearly all   ence of novelas on fertility was found
                        households in brazil. Fertility declines across minimally comparable areas (AMCs) were
                        correlated with the availability of Globo, and its novelas, over the time periods in the   in school records. The researchers
                        study. Source: La Ferrara, E., et al., 2012. Soap operas and fertility: Evidence from Brazil. Am. Econ. J.   found that fifth graders living in areas
                        Appl. Econ. 4: 1-31.                                                 reached by the Globo network were
                                                                                             four times more likely to be named
                                                                                             after the lead characters in novelas
                                                                                             in the year they were born than were
                        on the most popular novelas,           The team found that women in
                        increased the number of areas that   areas that received the Globo signal   children in areas not served by Globo.
                        received its signal in Brazil over those   had significantly lower fertility than   These results were particularly com-
                        35 years (Figure 1), and currently it   those in areas not served by Rede   pelling because most novela charac-
                                                                                             ters have relatively unusual names.
                        reaches 98% of Brazilian households.   Globo, and they also found that   The researchers determined that
                        By combining data on Rede Globo    fertility declines were related to the   access to television alone did not
                        broadcast range with demographic   timing of receiving access to novelas.   depress fertility. For example, com-
                        data, the researchers were able to   Diving deeper into census data, the   parisons of fertility rate in areas with
                        compare changes in fertility pat-  researchers concluded that the great-  access to a different television network,
                        terns over time in areas of Brazil that   est reductions in fertility occurred in   Sistema Brasileiro de Televisão, found
                        received access to novelas with areas   women aged 25–34 and 35–44, but   no relationship. The study authors
                        in Brazil that did not.            not in younger women (Figure 2). The
                                                                                             concluded that this was likely due to
                                                                                             the network’s reliance on programming
                                                                                             imported from other nations, with which
                                       7
                                              1970     1980     1991                         everyday Brazilians did not connect as
                                       6 5                                                   they did with novelas.
                                                                                                 Television’s ability to change
                                   Average number of  live births per woman  4 3             Brazil. A 2007 study found that
                                                                                             cultural attitudes is not limited to
                                                                                             access to cable television in rural
                                                                                             villages in India correlated with lower
                                                                                             fertility, reduced acceptance of

                                                                                             preference for sons over daughters,
                                       1 2                                                   violence against women, decreased
                                                                                             and increases in attitudes about
                                       0                                                     female autonomy.                     CHAPTER 8 •  Hum A n Po P ul AT i on
                                          15–19  20–24  25–29  30–34  35–39  40–44               The factors that affect human
                                                            Age                              fertility can be complex and vary greatly
                                                                                             from one society to another. The influ-
                        Figure 2 Fertility declines among brazilian women between 1970 and 1991 were   ence of novelas on fertility in Brazil
                        most pronounced in later age classes. The authors attribute some of this decline to
                        women in those age classes emulating the low fertility of lead female characters in   also shows that the factors influenc-
                        novelas. Source: La Ferrara, E., et al., 2012. Soap operas and fertility: Evidence from Brazil. Am.   ing fertility can sometimes come from
                        Econ. J. Appl. Econ. 4: 1-31.                                        unexpected sources.
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