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Business valuations and market efficiency





                  Question 6



                  DCF valuation

                  The following information has been taken from the statement of profit or loss
                  and the statement of financial position for X Co:

                  Revenue:                          $500m

                  Production expenses:              $200m


                  Administrative expenses:          $100m

                  Tax-allowable depreciation:       $50m

                  Capital investment in year:       $25m

                  Corporate debt:                   $250m

                  Corporation tax is 30%, the WACC is 15.5% and inflation is 4%.


                  These cash flows are expected to continue for the foreseeable future.

                  Calculate the value of equity.

                  Operating profits = $500m – $200m – $100m = $200m

                  Tax on operating profits = $200m × 0.3 = $60m


                  Tax relief on tax-allowable depreciation: $50m × 0.3 = $15m

                  Free cash flow = $200m – $60m + $15m – $25m = $130m

                  Using the real method for discounting (don’t inflate the cash flows and use the
                  real discount rate):

                  The cash flows will be a perpetuity of $130m

                  The real discount rate will be (1.155/1.04) – 1 = 0.11 or 11%

                  PV of perpetuity = $130m × 1/0.11 = $1,182m


                  This values the entire cash flows of the business.  To obtain the value of equity
                  alone, we must deduct the debt value.


                  Value of equity = $1,182m – $250m = $932m




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