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Chapter 2





                   Answer (cont.)

                   (d)  Minimax regret

                         The minimax regret strategy is the one that minimises the maximum
                         regret (opportunity cost). A regret table should be used:

                                               Daily supply regret (opportunity cost)


                       Daily
                     demand           40 salads        50 salads        60 salads        70 salads

                     40 salads      Right decision      $80 (W1)        $160 (W1)        $240 (W1)


                                                          Right
                     50 salads           $20                                $80             $160
                                                        decision

                                                                           Right
                     60 salads           $40               $20                               $80
                                                                         decision

                                                                                            Right
                     70 salads           $60               $40              $20
                                                                                          decision
                                        –––––            –––––            –––––            –––––


                     Maximum             $60               $80             $160             $240
                      regret =


                         Therefore, to minimise the maximum regret, 40 salads should be
                         supplied.


                         (W1) If daily demand is 40 salads, it would be the right decision for the
                              business to supply 40 salads since the profit of supplying 40 salads
                              is the highest, i.e. $80.

                             If the business decided instead to supply 50 salads, the regret
                              (opportunity cost) would be the $80 it could have made supplying
                              40 salads less the $0 it did make supplying 50 salads = $80.

                             If the business decided instead to supply 60 salads, the regret
                              (opportunity cost) would be the $80 it could have made supplying
                              40 salads less the $80 loss it did make supplying 60 salads = $160.


                             If the business decided instead to supply 70 salads, the regret
                              (opportunity cost) would be the $80 it could have made supplying
                              40 salads less the $160 loss it did make supplying 70 salads =
                              $240.




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