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Chapter 2




               Suitability of tool for organisation

                    Suitable if organisation does not want to make the wrong decision and miss
                     out.


                    An approach for a sore loser.

                    Risks making a lower profit.


               3.6 Risk calculations





                   Test your understanding 1




                   Geoffrey Ramsbottom runs a kitchen that provides food for various canteens
                   throughout a large organisation.  A particular salad generates a profit of $2
                   based on a selling price of $10 and a cost of $8.  Salads must be prepared in
                   batches of 10 and daily demand is as follows:

                                  Demand                                    Probability

                                  40 salads                                     0.10


                                  50 salads                                     0.20

                                  60 salads                                     0.40

                                  70 salads                                     0.30

                                                                               ––––


                                                                                1.00

                   Required:

                   Decide how many salads should be supplied per day using:

                   (a) expected values


                   (b)  the maximax rule

                   (c)  the maximin rule

                   (d)  the minimax regret rule




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