Page 10 - Global EM Granola Learning Book - Draft VS 22
P. 10

1. Granola in Global Emerging Markets:


              1.2 Global Size and Growth


                                                  Global Granola


          KEY TAKE-OUT

          Global Granola growing                   Global Granola Sales RSV US$ 000' m
           at +8% with EM granola                                                                      2015            2016 YOY%              Segment %

            +14% and Kellogg EM
          granola growth of +28%                   Total Global Granola                                3,232          3,494          108%                  100
                                                   Core 4 Markets                                      1,153          1,213          105%                    35

                                                   Developing markets                                  1,064          1,119          105%                    32
         Sequential improvements
         in Granola GP Margins to                  Total Emerging Markets                              1,015          1,162          114%                    33
          35% driven by reduction
            in COGS as volumes                        Source: Euromonitor 2017
                    increase
                                                  Kellogg Emerging Markets Granola


               Kellogg Granola
              currently at a 28%                  •    Total 2016 NSV of US$ 95 m (Asia 7 – 60m in past 4 years)
            premium to RTEC and
              projected to reach                  •    28% CAGR
              US$ 200 m by 2020                   •    NSV per kg US$ 6.50
                                                  •    NSV 32% premium to average RTEC in EM
                                                  •    Sequential improvement in COGs
             Additional Information
                                                  •    Sequential improvement in GP%  28 to 35%

         Top 8 Kellogg EM Granola
         Markets are:                                  Rate / Kilo                                   2014             2015
         1. Japan
         2. India                                      NSV / Kilo                                   6.24            6.52
         3. Korea                                      COGS / Kilo                                  4.28            4.28
         4. Middle East
         5. SEA                                        GP / Kilo                                    1.96            2.23

         6. Columbia
         7. Mexico                                     A&P / Kilo                                   0.70            0.87
         8. Brazil
                                                       Brand Contr / Kilo                           1.26            1.36
         Source: Internal Kellogg NSV
                                                       Source: Internal Kellogg Consolidation
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