Page 11 - Module 11 The Fibonacci science
P. 11

Module 11 – The Fibonacci Science



                                                                                          Price  Chart  with  Swing

                                                                                          High and Swing Low


















                      In the image above, note that we are basing our analysis on a 1-Hour Closing Price chart. You can
                      see that within the past twenty-four hours, the rate fell from a recent high, and then tested the
                      previous level of support before reversing.

                      By placing the Fibonacci lines over the price chart and extending the lines past the current spot rate,
                      you can locate each of the potential retracement points and, if you wish, adjust your trading strategy
                      based on this feedback.
                      In this example, the retracement levels show
                      possible support and resistance levels as the
                      rate retraces upwards. If the exchange rate    Tools  to  help  you  confirm  deeper
                      is below a retracement level and the trend     retracement  during  the  ongoing
                      displays upwards momentum, you may wish        trend  or  determine  if  it  is  just  a
                      to  consider  the  next  Fibonacci  level  as  a
                      potential  future resistance level  for  the   market noise:
                      currency pair.
                                                                     ▪   Swing  highs  and  Swing  lows  (  we  had
                      In  the  case  of  a  downtrend  of  course,  you   explained this in the previous lesson).
                      must  take  the  opposite  approach.  When     ▪   Moving  averages  or  MACD  crossovers.
                      trending   downwards,   each   Fibonacci          Please  use  short-time  frames  for  these
                      retracement     level   identifies   a            indicators as longer time frames are used
                      potential support level where traders begin       for finding out about the trend reversals
                      to buy the currency pair, thereby reversing       and not for small consolidations.
                      the downtrend.                                 ▪   Supports and resistances.
                                                                     ▪   Trend  lines,  channels  and  other  chart
                      When  it  comes  to  Fibonacci  ratios  and       patterns.
                      currency  pair  retracements,  there  may  be
                      more at play than first meets the eye. Few
                      traders  would  argue  that  on  its  own,  the
                      Fibonacci sequence has a direct effect on currency prices. However, if enough market participants
                      believe that a retracement could occur near a Fibonacci ratio level and act accordingly, then all those
                      pending orders could impact the market price.





                                                                                                        10
   6   7   8   9   10   11   12   13   14   15