Page 101 - Proceeding of Atrans Young Researcher's Forum 2019_Neat

“Transportation for A Better Life:
Smart Mobility for Now and Then”

23 August 2019, Bangkok, Thailand

It appears that the most of public transport For building scenarios, the data of JICA
measures and individual motorized vehicle measures (2013) are used and analyzed. On the basis of
are being implemented. In relation to fuel economy assumption, future scenarios are built. Table 3 shows
policies for new vehicles, mandatory labeling for the assumption of impacts
new car (up to 7 seats) is in place. It appears although Table 3 Assumption of Impact
some incentives for energy-efficient vehicles exist Assumption Impact Source
but no policy discussion on CO2-based vehicle Two metro lines are 2% motorcycle trips JICA
taxation. operated in 2030 shift to metro (2013)
Policies related to limiting the growth in Improve bus route 3% motorcycle trips JICA
private vehicle transport demand, such as parking shift to bus (2013)
management, vehicle and fuel taxation, road pricing Development of BRT % motorcycle trips JICA
are being implemented. Efforts to increase the mode shift to BRT (2013)
JICA
share of public transport, especially for Bus Rapid Using CNG buses CNG buses account (2013)
for 30%
Transit (BRT) and Mass Rapid Transit (MRT), are E-vehicle e-bike and e- JICA
mostly focused in HCMC. For optimizing bus motorbike account (2013)
systems, reforming their management systems and for 7%
increasing their attractiveness, HCMC has made Fuel efficiency standard JICA
progress. However, policies such as low-emission for car and MC (2013)
zones, pedestrian roads and provision of walking and
cycling infrastructure, application of transit-oriented The table 4 shows the passenger means split
development, together with information instruments for 2030 demand for the BAU scenario
such as campaigns, are not yet fully in place. Table 4 Modal Split for different modes (2030)
When reviewing the progress of work done Modes Passenger %
by the government to implement the mass transit so volume
far, it is clear that the implementation mass transit (mil.per.km)
system is still far from the goal. So far, out of 8 MRT Motorcycle 52,370 37.89
lines in HCMC, only MRT Corridor 1 and MRT Car 36,598 26.48
Corridor 2 that are moving with construction and Bus 36,073 26.1
preparation. Whereas the implementation for the Metro 7,215 5.2
remaining corridors remains unclear. Others 6,207 4.5
There is no significant impact on the Total 138,204 100%
government’s initiatives to manage the traffic
demand. The smart parking system, which was In accordance with JICA calculation, the
initiated by the government in 2017 has no impact in number of passenger traffic increases from 75,357
reducing and managing parking. mil.persons.km in 2013 to 118,861 mil.persons.km
To meet the goals, HCMC needs to find a in 2025 with BAU and reach 138,204
way to solve these problems and to speed up the mil.persons.km with mitigation actions. Considering
the modal share by trip, the share of public transport
implementation process by finding the most efficient
and economic mode of public transport. (bus, train and MRT) increase from 6.5% in 2013 to
27.1% in 2025 with BAU and reaches 33.4% in 2025
4. Scenario Design with mitigation actions. Following the targets in
In order to suggest the appropriate policies urban transport development plan for HCMC, in
to create efficient and low-carbon transport, it is 2030 the share of public transport (bus, train, MRT)
necessary to have evaluation of policy impacts to increases to 31.6% in 2030 BAU.
reduce CO2 emission. In BAU scenario, approximately 11,574
Two scenarios have been studied based on ktCO2 is estimated to be emitted in 2030, if the
the projected demand of travel considering the modal split remains the same.
passenger kilometers of travel. Scenarios have been For mitigation actions, approximately 9.769
generated to study the amount of CO2 emission in tkCO2 is estimated to be emitted in 2030. This would
2030, which are follows: be just around 84% of BAU.
(1) Business as usual
(2) To increase modal split of public transport.

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