Page 76 - ie2 August 2019
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MARKETS




          INDIA-INDONESIA ENGINEERING TRADE




              HE top 10 engineering products   Table2: India-Indonesia bilateral engineering trade ($ million)
              India exported to Indonesia in
         T2018-19  are given in  Table3. The                         2015-16  2016-17  2017-18  2018-19  CAGR %
          major engineering import items from   India’s engg exports to Indonesia  839.48  1405.61  1753.58  2331.33  40.6
          Indonesia includes iron and steel, copper   India’s engg imports from Indonesia  1130.4  1128.29  1246.54  1494.1  9.7
          and products, tin and products, nuclear   BOT              -290.92  277.32  507.04   837.23
          reactors, industrial machinery for dairy   Source: www.commerce.nic.in
          and agriculture, products of iron and
          steel, motor vehicles/cars, electric ma-  Table2: India’s top 10 engineering exports to Indonesia ($ million)
          chinery and equipment and so on.                                                           2018-19
           Evidently, the two nations comple-  Ships, boats and floating structures                  734.6
          ment  each  other  in  a  number  of  areas.   Motor vehicle/cars                          369.56
          Trade meetings and delegation-level talks
          could do more to promote better trade,   Iron and steel                                    275.81
          and government-to-government contact   Industrial machinery for dairy, agriculture, food processing, textiles, paper, chemicals, etc  173.06
          would reassure the business community   Electric machinery and equipment                   166.59
          of both countries.                 Auto components/parts                                   118.75
                                             Nuclear reactors, industrial boilers and parts          103.29
          India-Indonesia trade agreements    Products of iron and steel                             58.73
          India  at  present  trades  with  Indonesia   Air condition and refrigeration machinery and parts, industrial furnaces, water heaters and   52.74
          under the  ASEAN-India FTA (AIFTA).   centrifuges and compressor
          The AIFTA is a free trade area among the   Zinc and products made of zinc                  28.62
          10 member states of the Association of   Source: www.commerce.nic.in
          Southeast  Asian Nations (ASEAN) and
          India. The initial framework agreement   exports to Indonesia have increased but   positive balance of trade in the case of
          was signed on 8 October 2003 in Bali, In-  not considerably. On the other hand In-  engineering  goods all through, barring
          donesia and the final agreement was on   dia’s imports from Indonesia has almost   just 2015-16.
          13 August 2009. The free trade area came   doubled post FTA from $8.66 million in   Thus there has been a positive effect of
          into effect on 1 January 2010.    2009-10 to $15.84 million in 2018-19,   the FTA, which has resulted in increase of
           The two countries have committed to   registering a CAGR of 9 percent over   India’s engineering exports to Indonesia
          improve bilateral cooperation through a   the years from 2008-09 to 2018-19. This   as seen from Figure2
          strategic partnership which was formed   disparity in export-import growth rates
          in 2005. On these lines, the two coun-  have led to the increase in trade deficit   Observation: Thus India’s rising trade
          tries are in the process of negotiating a   which is reflected in the last 11 years.   deficit with Indonesia is due to the surge
          Comprehensive Economic Cooperation                                   in merchandise imports, which has in-
          Agreement (CECA).                 Impact of FTA on engineering       creased manifold as seen from Figure1.
                                            trade                              Has the FTA strengthened India’s posi-
          Impact of FTA on merchandise      India’s engineering exports to Indonesia   tion as an engineering export partner in
          trade                             has increased post  AIFTA from $753.6   Indonesia?
          We see from  Figure1 that India’s mer-  million in 2009-10 to $2331.3 million in   So now we try to find the position of In-
          chandise exports and imports vis-à-vis   2018-19, registering a CAGR of 15 per-  dia as a supplier of engineering goods to
          Indonesia has increased over the years   cent over the years from 2008-09 to 2018-  Indonesia in the global context.
          from 2008-09 to 2018-19. India’s total   19. India’s engineering imports have
          exports to Indonesia have increased from   also increased considerably from $296.6   Indonesia’s engineering imports
          $2.56  million in  2008-09  to $5.28  mil-  million in 2009-10 to $1494.1 million in   and India’s share
          lion in 2018-19, registering a CAGR of 7   2018-19, registering a CAGR of 22 per-  Case1: India ranks among the top 5
          percent. We find that post AIFTA India’s   cent. However India has maintained a   For the product groups shown in Table3,




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