Page 50 - The Economist20171214
P. 50

Britain
      50                                                                          The Economist December 16th 2017

                                                                                 Also in this section
                                                                              51 The economics of crime
                                                                              51 Brexiteers go quiet
                                                                              52 The Grenfell fire, six months on
                                                                                 Bagehot is on holiday
















                                                                             For daily analysis and debate on Britain, visit
                                                                              Economist.com/britain

        The housing market                                                   skills. Thatisgood forproductivity growth.
                                                                               Yet the buy-to-let boom also has its
        Struggles of the landed gentry                                       downsides. Like the gentry ofold, Britain’s
                                                                             new class oflandlords is often amateurish.
                                                                             Most operate on a very small scale: six in
                                                                             ten have just one property. And many
                                                                             seem to manage their houses poorly. Al-
                                                                             most 30% of private-rented dwellings are
                                                                             officially classed as “non-decent”, mean-
        An unprecedented boom in “buy-to-let” investmentis coming to an end
                                                                             ingthattheyfail to meetbasicstandards for
            ICKNAMED “God” byhisfans, Robbie  housingmarkethasseemed like a one-way  things such as heating or their state of re-
        NFowler scored 183 goals for Liverpool  bet, with prices trending upwards in real  pair. (By contrast, 15% of council housing is
        Football Club. But his career as a property  terms for four decades, mainly because  in such a condition.)
        magnate may have been even more suc-  governmentaftergovernmenthasfailed to  Young folk who would prefer to own a
        cessful. As he banged in the goals, fans  loosen planning restrictions on building  house than pay rent to their elders com-
        chanted, to the tune of “Yellow Subma-  newhouses. Now, however, there are signs  plain that the buy-to-let boom is one ofthe
        rine”, “We all live in a Robbie Fowler  that regulatory changes have begun to  great injustices of modern Britain. The
        house.” Mr Fowler has since hung up his  send the buy-to-letboom into reverse. That  Conservative Party is worried. Over half
        boots and is now the face of the Robbie  is bad news for Mr Fowler’s disciples, but  of private renters voted for Jeremy Cor-
        Fowler Property Academy, which offers  there could be benefits, too.   byn’s Labour Party at the general election
        seminars on how to make it bigin housing.  The growth ofthe rental marketis notin  in June, a higher share of private renters
        With what is believed to be a portfolio of  itself an unwelcome trend. As the supply  than voted for Tony Blair when he won by
        over 50 properties, his fortune may run  ofplacesto letrises, the costofrenting falls.  a landslide in 1997.
        into the tens ofmillions ofpounds.   Though many tenants may prefer to own  Life has lately become harder for land-
           Plenty of Britons want to emulate Mr  their home, others like the flexibility of  lords. In 2016 the government raised stamp
        Fowler. In the past two decades they have  renting. Ifworkerscan up stickseasily, they  duty, a tax on homebuyers, by three per-
        piled into the “buy-to-let” market, acquir-  are likelier to find work that suits their  centage points for those buying second
        inghomes to rent out. These days one in 30                           homes, including buy-to-let properties. It
        adults—and around one in four MPs—is a                               abolished a generous “wear and tear” al-
        landlord. Roughly a third of them are re-  Piling in                 lowance forthose lettingfurnished proper-
        tired, many having turned to the housing  Britain, number of dwellings   ties, and in April began tighteningthe rules
        market as the returns on their savings  in private-rented sector, m  on how landlords write off interest costs
        dwindled. The rent from buy-to-let proper-                     6     against income tax. These changes are
        ties, which we estimate at £55bn-65bn  With buy-to-let               enough to turn healthy annual profits into
                                               mortgage                5
        ($73bn-87bn) a year, isequivalentto the sal-  Other                  losses, especiallyforinvestorsin higher tax
        ary bill for the financial and insurance in-                     4    brackets and with large mortgages.
        dustries, in which over1m people work.                         3       Meanwhile, yields on rental properties
           The buy-to-let phenomenon got going                               have fallen. House prices have risen faster
        in 1996, with the introduction ofmortgages                     2     than rents, in part because buy-to-letters
        which no longer required the borrower to                       1     have increased the demand for properties
        live in the house they were buying, says                        0    available for purchase, while simulta-
        Lawrence Bowles of Savills, a property  1999  2005   10      16      neously increasing the supply of places to
        firm. The years since then have seen fren-  Sources: HM Government; CML;   rent. Britain’s ratio of house prices to rents
        zied growth (see chart). Investing in the  HM Treasury; DCLG; The Economist  is now 50% above its long-run average. All 1
   45   46   47   48   49   50   51   52   53   54   55