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SIMULATION 163

                             Table 7.2
                             Major Threats to Internal Validity in Different Experimental Designs When Members Are
                             Randomly Selected and Assigned

                             Types of Experimental Designs          Major Threats to Internal Validity
                             1. Pretest & posttest with one experimental   Testing, history, maturation
                               group only
                             2. Posttests only with one experimental    Maturation
                               and one control group
                             3. Pretest & posttest with one experimental   Mortality
                               and one control group
                             4. Solomon four-group design            Mortality



                             “true” versus the “placebo” treatment. The entire process was conducted by an
                             outside testing agency which alone knew who got what treatment. Since both
                             the experimenter and the subjects are blinded, such studies are called double-
                             blind studies. Since there is no tampering with the treatment in any way, such
                             experimental studies are the least biased.
                               As mentioned previously, managers rarely undertake the study of cause-and-
                             effect relationships in organizations using experimental designs because of the
                             inconveniences and disruptions they cause to the system.


            Ex Post Facto Designs
                             Cause-and-effect relationships are sometimes established through what is called
                             the ex post facto design. Here, there is no manipulation of the independent vari-
                             able in the lab or field setting, but subjects who have already been exposed to
                             a stimulus and those not so exposed are studied. For instance, training programs
                             might have been introduced in an organization 2 years earlier. Some might have
                             already gone through the training while others might not. To study the effects of
                             training on work performance, performance data might now be collected for
                             both groups. Since the study does not immediately follow after the training, but
                             much later, it is an ex post facto design.
                               More advanced experimental designs such as the completely randomized
                             design, randomized block design, Latin square design, and the factorial design
                             are described in the Appendix to this chapter, for the student interested in these.



            SIMULATION

                             An alternative to lab and field experimentation currently being used in business
                             research is simulation. Simulation uses a model-building technique to determine
                             the effects of changes, and computer-based simulations are becoming popular in
                             business research. A simulation can be thought of as an experiment conducted
                             in a specially created setting that very closely represents the natural environment
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