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A28    SCIENCE
               Tuesday 7 November 2017


















            U.S. report contradicts Trump team: Warming mostly man-made



            By SETH BORENSTEIN                                                                                                  ed  how  different  climate
             AP Science Writer                                                                                                  change-caused       events
            WASHINGTON  (AP)  —  A                                                                                              can  interact  in  a  complex
            massive  U.S.  report  con-                                                                                         way  to  make  life  worse
            cludes  the  evidence  of                                                                                           such as the California wild-
            global  warming  is  stronger                                                                                       fires and Superstorm Sandy
            than  ever,  contradicting                                                                                          five years ago.
            a  favorite  talking  point  of                                                                                     The world's oceans are un-
            top  Trump  administration                                                                                          der  a  "triple  threat"  —  the
            officials,  who  downplay                                                                                           water  is  getting  warmer,
            humans'  role  in  climate                                                                                          more  acidic  and  seeing  a
            change.                                                                                                             drop in oxygen levels, Hay-
            The report released Friday is                                                                                       hoe said.
            one of two scientific assess-                                                                                       In a 1,504-page draft report
            ments  required  every  four                                                                                        on  the  impacts  of  climate
            years.  A draft showing how                                                                                         change, scientists detailed
            warming  affects  the  U.S.                                                                                         dozens  of  ways  global
            was also published.                                                                                                 warming  is  already  affect-
            Despite  fears  by  some  sci-                                                                                      ing parts of the U.S.
            entists  and  environmental                                                                                         Scientists said global warm-
            advocates,  David  Fahey                                                                                            ing is already sickening, in-
            of  the  National  Oceanic                                                                                          juring and killing Americans
            and  Atmospheric  Adminis-                                                                                          with  changes  to  weather,
            tration and several authors   In this Saturday, Sept. 3, 2016 file photo, water from Roanoke Sound pounds the Virginia Dare   food,  air,  water  and  dis-
            said  there  was  no  political   Trail in Manteo, N.C., as Tropical Storm Hermine passes the Outer Banks.  Associated Press  eases.  And  it's  expected
            interference  or  censoring                                                                                         to  get  worse,  hurting  the
            of  the  477-page  final  re-  tion  Agency  chief  Scott  percent. It's more than 100  They  include  the  slowing  economy,  wildlife  and  en-
            port.                        Pruitt have repeatedly said  percent  on  one  end,  be-  down of the giant Atlantic  ergy supply.
            "A lot of what we've been  carbon dioxide isn't the pri-  cause some natural forces  Ocean  circulation  system  "Risks range from the incon-
            learning  over  the  last  four  mary  contributor  to  global  —  such  as  volcanoes  and  that  could  dramatically  venient, such as increasing
            years suggests the possibil-  warming.                    orbital  cycle  —  are  work-  warp  weather  worldwide,  high tide flooding along the
            ity  that  things  may  have  It's  "extremely  likely"  —  ing  to  cool  Earth,  but  are  much stronger El Ninos, ma-  East  Coast  related  to  sea
            been more serious than we  meaning with 95 to 100 per-    being  overwhelmed  by  jor decreases in ice sheets  level  rise,  to  ...  the  forced
            think," said Robert Kopp of  cent certainty — that glob-  the  effects  of  greenhouse  in  Greenland  and  Antarc-  relocation of coastal com-
            Rutgers  University,  one  of  al  warming  is  man-made,  gases, said study co-author  tica,  which  would  spike  munities  in  Alaska  and
            dozens  of  scientists  inside  mostly from the spewing of  Katharine Hayhoe of Texas  sea level rise, and massive  along  the  Gulf  Coast,"  the
            and  outside  the  govern-   carbon dioxide into the at-  Tech.                        release  of  methane  and  draft report said.
            ment  who  wrote  the  re-   mosphere from the burning  "This  period  is  now  the  carbon dioxide from thaw-      Outside  experts  said  the
            ports.                       of coal, oil and natural gas,  warmest  in  the  history  of  ing  permafrost  that  could  reports are the most up-to-
            Since   1900,   Earth   has  scientists concluded.        modern  civilization,"  she  turbo-charge warming.        date  summary  of  climate
            warmed by 1.8 degrees (1  "Over  the  last  century,  said.                            Researchers  did  not  pro-  science.
            degree  Celsius)  and  seas  there are no convincing al-  For  the  first  time,  scientists  vide  an  estimate  of  how  "It shows that if anything the
            have  risen  by  8  inches.  ternative explanations," the  highlighted  a  dozen  "tip-  likely  tipping  points  would  findings  of  scientists  have
            Heat  waves,  downpours  report said.                     ping  points"  of  potential  occur, but "there is certain-  become  more  dire"  since
            and wildfires have become  Scientists  calculated  that  dangers  that  could  hap-    ly some chance of some of  2013, said University of Cali-
            frequent.                    human     contribution   to  pen  from  warming,  things  these  things  happening,"  fornia, Berkeley climate sci-
            Energy Secretary Rick Perry  warming  since  1950  is  be-  that Hayhoe said "keep me  Fahey said.                  entist Zeke Hausfather, who
            and Environmental Protec-    tween 92 percent and 123  up at night."                   The report also document-    wasn't part of the work.q
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