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12  Section 1  Evaluation and Management of the Patient

            observed value. This underscores the point that when   means and standard deviations) and for identifying out-
  VetBooks.ir  data do not conform to a particular parametric distribu-  liers that may represent data errors.
                                                                Another  common  error  arises  when  replicate  meas-
            tion, it is preferable to use a method of describing the
            data that does not depend on specifying a particular
                                                              This arises, for example, when two or more treatments
            distribution.                                     urements are taken from the same patient over time.
             Graphically representing such data is likewise inappro-  are successively tested in patients with before/after com-
            priate when using bar charts based on means and error   parisons, or when monitoring blood values over time. As
            bars using standard deviations or standard errors. One   mentioned earlier, n replicate measurements taken from
            indispensable way of graphically portraying such data is   a single individual cannot be treated as equivalent to sin-
            through the use of a box and whiskers plot, as shown for   gle measurements coming from n different individuals.
            the data above in Figure 2.2.                       Figure 2.3 illustrates this principle by examining before/
             The advantage of such graphs is that they are con-  after measurements taken on five patients at different
            structed based only the data, and not on any distribu-  times. Both panel 1 (left) and panel 2 (right) contain the
            tional assumptions (such as normality). The lower and   identical 10 points but panel 1 ignores the pairing within
            upper ends of the box correspond to the 25th and 75th   individuals, and a regression line fitted to the 10 points
            percentiles respectively; the horizontal line within the   suggests a negative correlation between the measure-
            box corresponds to the 50th percentile (i.e., the median),   ments over time. Panel 2, in contrast, links the before/after
            the bars (i.e., the “whiskers”) above and below the box   pairs within individuals and an entirely different picture
            contain all data above and below 1.5 times the vertical   emerges: every individual’s values actually increased over
            width of the box (i.e., the interquartile range), and the   time. Ignoring such pairing not only obscures actual
            individual points beyond the whiskers represent   effects but also in cases such as this suggests a paradoxical
            extreme (outlying) values. Figure  2.2 reinforces the   reversal of effects. Therefore, in studies where two or
            observation from the histogram that the data are   more  measurements  are  taken  from  the  same  patients
            skewed towards higher values, which causes the mean   over time, it is important to not combine the patients’ val-
            to be larger than the median. This type of plot is also   ues at individual time points through the use of histo-
            valuable in assessing symmetry of a data distribution   grams, boxplots, or other graphical representations. Panel
            (asymmetric distributions should not be described with   B is often called a “spaghetti plot” because it can, with
                                                              larger numbers of individuals, take on an appearance of
                                                              many intertwined lines across two or more times.

              25
                                                                Measures of Association and Effect


              20                                              As noted earlier, the construct and interpretation of the
                                                              P‐value is unsatisfying, if not bewildering to consumers
                                                              of statistical analyses who are not well versed in their
                                                              subtleties. The preoccupation with statistical testing in
             Data value 15                                    the medical literature should presumably be subordinate
                                                              to  and  supplanted  by  a  more  favorable  inclination
                                                              towards estimation: the mathematical calculation of sta-
              10
                                                              tistics that measure the magnitude of differences and
                                                              associations in data. The imperative for this is no more
                                                              evident than in the often seen but erroneous exposition
               5                                              that “no differences were found from a set of analyses
                                                              because none were statistically significant.”
                                                                Among the most common intuitively appealing meas-
               0                                              ures of association are those conjoined from descriptive
                                                              measures of prevalence and incidence.
            Figure 2.2  Box and whiskers plot for data shown in Figure 2.1.
            Lower and upper ends of the box represent the 25th and 75th
            percentiles, respectively; the orange line within the box equals the   Prevalence
            50th percentile (median), the bars (“whiskers”) above and below   Prevalence represents the proportion of individuals in a
            the box contain all data above and below 1.5 times the
            interquartile range, and individual points beyond the whiskers   population who, at a single point or restricted period of
            represent outliers.                               time,  possess a  health  characteristic  of interest, as  in
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