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910     PART VII   Pancreas


         presepsin, 256  soluble urokinase-type plasminogen activator recep-  TABLE 58.1  CT Grading System of Balthazar and the CT Severity Index
         tor, 257  urinary neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin, 258  the   (CTSI)
         LP-PLA2 gene polymorphisms V279F and R92H, 259  genetic
         polymorphisms in TLR3 and TLR6, 260  increased visceral adipose   Balthazar
         tissue, 261  matrix metalloprotease-8, 262  IL13/IFN gamma ratio, 263    Grades  Definition   Points
         antithrombin-III, 264  high visceral fat with low skeletal muscle vol-  A  Normal pancreas consistent with mild   0
         ume, 265  admission heart rate variability, 266  and others.    pancreatitis
            The presence of SIRS at admission and persistence of SIRS   B  Focal or diffuse enlargement of the gland,   1
         at 48 hours increases the morbidity and mortality rate. In one   including contour irregularities and
         study, death occurred in 25% of patients with persistent SIRS,   inhomogeneous attenuation but without
         in 8% with transient SIRS, and in less than 1% without SIRS. 267  peripancreatic inflammation
            Although severity is now defined by the presence of organ fail-  C  Grade B plus peripancreatic inflammation  2
         ure or anatomic complications of AP, such as pancreatic necrosis,   D  Grade C plus associated single fluid collection  3
         prospective systems using clinical criteria have been developed to
         determine disease severity. These systems include the Ranson’s   E  Grade C plus 2 or more peripancreatic fluid   4
         and APACHE scores. 13,14  Unfortunately, these scoring systems   collections or gas in the pancreas or
                                                                         retroperitoneum
         (discussed below) are cumbersome, requiring multiple measure-  CTSI=Balthazar Grade Points Plus Necrosis Score*
         ments. In addition, the systems are not accurate until 48 hours
         after presentation.                                           Necrosis Score                  Points
                                                                       Absence of necrosis             0
         Scoring Systems                                               Necrosis of up to 33% of the pancreas  2

         APACHE II has been the most validated system for many years   Necrosis of 33%-50%             4
         and none of the later scoring systems later reported proved to   Necrosis of >50%             6
         be superior in any consistent manner. However, APACHE II is
                                                               *Highest attainable CTSI score: 4 (Balthazar grade E) + 6 (necrosis of
         cumbersome (like most of the systems) and is very rarely used in   >50%) = 10 points.
         clinical practice. Most studies used a score of 8 or more as severe
         AP. Ranson and colleagues identified 11 signs that had prognostic
                                                  13
         significance during the first 48 hours. The original list  was ana-
         lyzed in patients who primarily suffered from alcoholic pancre-  with scores of 7 to 10. The CT grading scores correlate better
         atitis and was then modified 8 years later for those with gallstone   with local complications (pseudocysts and abscesses) than with
         pancreatitis. 268  A score of 3 or more is considered to indicate   mortality. Among the 37 patients with a grade D or E score, 54%
         severe AP. The Imrie or Glasgow score 269  is a slightly simplified   developed a local complication, whereas only 2 of 51 (3.9%) with
         list (8 criteria) that is used commonly in the United Kingdom.   grades A through C developed this problem. 213  Thus the data
         The Pancreas  Center  at Brigham  and Women’s  Hospital per-  do not confirm that the CTSI is any more predictive than the
         formed a series of studies retrospectively and prospectively. 270-272    grades A through E score. There is controversy in the literature
         The studies were performed on a large database including almost   as to whether the extent of necrosis on CT predicts organ fail-
         37,000 patients from more than 200 hospitals. After careful anal-  ure. 11,12,16,245-247  A modified CTSI has been found to be more
         ysis, including a validation study, they determined that a simpler   useful where a simplified assessment of inflammation and necro-
         system  that  included  only  5  variables  could  accurately  predict   sis, as well as assessment of extrapancreatic complications, were
         severity early in the course of the disease. The scoring system,   included. 276  
         referred to as BISAP (Bedside Index for Severity in AP), assigns
         each parameter 1 point: BUN greater than 25 mg/dL, Impaired   Chest Radiography
         mental status, SIRS, Age older than 60 years, and Pleural effu-
         sion, for a possible total of 5 points. A BISAP score of 4 or 5 is   A pleural effusion documented within 72 hours of admission by
         associated with a 7- to 12-fold increased risk of developing organ   chest radiography (or CT) correlates with severe disease. 205,206  
         failure. BISAP is not superior to APACHE II. Other scoring sys-
         tems include the harmless AP score, 273  the Japanese AP severity   TREATMENT (FIG . 58 .5)
         score, 274  and the PANC 3 score. 275
            APACHE II has stood the test of time and no score is convinc-  Initial Management During the First Week
         ingly superior to it, but it has the drawback of being cumbersome.
         The simple SIRS score is as good as any of the complex scoring   There is no specific drug therapy to treat AP and, thus, treatment
         systems that are available and is easy, cheap, and readily available   guidelines are mainly for supportive care and for the treatment of
         at the time of admission. 125  SIRS is defined by 2 or more of the   complications once they develop. However, because of such good
         following 4 criteria: pulse >90 beats/minute, rectal temperature   supportive care, including ICU care and more effective therapy
                                         3
         <36°C or >38°C, WBC count <4000/mm  or >12,000/mm , and   of the ensuing complications, the mortality in AP has dropped
                                                      3
         a respiratory rate greater than 20/minute or an arterial PCO 2  <32   from around 10% to 5% or less from different regions of the
         mm Hg (see Box 58.2).                                world.  The patient is  usually  kept NPO  until any  nausea  and
                                                              vomiting have subsided. However, there has been a major change
         CT                                                   in this concept and currently gut rousing and not gut resting is
                                                                                 By providing earlier oral intake, the gut
                                                              the key management.
                                                                               277
         The finding of extensive fluid collections and/or extensive pan-  mucosal barrier is preserved and prevents the undesirable trans-
         creatic necrosis on CT has been correlated with severe disease.   location of bacteria from the lumen into circulation. Pain relief
         Balthazar reported that 5 of 37 (13.5%) patients who had grade   is an important area in the early management. Opiate analgesics
         D or E findings on CT died, as opposed to none of 51 who had   like fentanyl and hydromorphone often by a patient-controlled
         grades B or C findings (Table 58.1). 213  Using the CT severity   anesthesia pump are the most widely used agents. 278  Opiate dos-
         index (CTSI score; see Table 58.1), among those with a score   ing is monitored carefully and adjusted on a daily basis accord-
         of 0 to 6, 3 of 77 (3.8%) died, as compared with 2 of 11 (18%)   ing to ongoing needs. Although morphine has been reported to
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