Page 22 - MEOG Annual Review 2021
P. 22

MEOG                                             OCTOBER                                               MEOG




       Northern Syria back in focus






       It is a little more than a year since a controversial agreement was signed for
       US involvement in the Syrian oil sector, and little appears to have changed.




        SYRIA            WASHINGTON’S lack of a consistent foreign  Reserves
                         policy stance on Syria has attracted widespread  Syria has proven reserves of 2.5bn barrels of oil
                         scrutiny as well as fears among locals of betrayal.  and 241bn cubic metres of gas, oil production is
       WHAT:             This was not helped by former President Don-  estimated at 15,000-40,000 bpd, though capacity
       Delta Crescent Energy’s   ald Trump’s proclamation last year that the US  was running at around 400,000 barrels per day
       contentious sanctions   should “keep the oil” for bringing stability to  (bpd) before civil war broke out in 2011. Num-
       waiver expired in April,   Syria.                      bers for gas are less clear, but the most recent ver-
       though the company is   Little over a year on, Trump has left office, the  ified data, from 2011, showed output of 8.95mn
       said to be keen to remain   licence awarded to Delta Crescent Energy (DCE)  cubic metres per day of dry natural gas, and
       in Syria.         the corporate proxy sent to “modernise” oilfields  more recent estimates are just 3.4 mcm per day.
                         in north-eastern Syria has expired and “stability”   In late 2019 a US defence official was quoted
       WHY:              appears no closer.                   by Kurdish media as saying that the US had
       The US was heavily   The administration of Joe Biden seems to  commenced “reinforcing positions in the Deir
       criticised for the deal   “have opted for a careful balance of ambiguity  ez-Zor region, in co-ordination with [SDF] part-
       which was slated on both   and a leisurely pace of change that started by  ners, with additional military assets to prevent
       political and commercial   granting a higher degree of freedom of deci-  the oilfields from falling back into the hands of
       levels.           sion-making for some of its Arab partners  ISIS or other destabilising actors.”
                         which have been for years expressing eagerness   The SDF brought the country’s Tanak oilfield
       WHAT NEXT:        to expand their currently limited co-operation  back on stream in August 2018, roughly a year
       Russian involvement is   with Damascus,” according to Syria specialist  after it and the US-backed YPG took the control
       set to grow as reports   Camille Otrakji.              of the asset from Daesh militants.
       emerge about companies   In May, a US official was quoted by the AP as   Tanak, Syria’s second-largest oilfield, is
       being contracted to   saying that the use of “the US military to facili-  located east of the River Euphrates in the oil-rich
       replace Delta.    tate Syrian oil production was deemed inappro-  Deir Ezzor province, near the country’s top oil
                         priate”, adding that DCE’s one-year sanctions  asset, the Omar field. Tanak’s 150 existing wells
                         waiver from the Office of Foreign Assets Control  are thought to be capable of 40,000 bpd of pro-
                         (OFAC) had not been renewed, though a 30-day  duction, but information about the asset’s con-
                         grace period was provided, presumably to allow  dition has not been forthcoming since the SDF
                         for operations to be wound up.       retook the field in November 2017. Local media
                           At the time DCE CEO John Dorrier said: “If  outlet Zaman Al Wasl quoted sources at the time
                         the Biden administration chooses not to renew  as saying that the oil from Tanak was being sup-
                         the [federal] licence, it will be a substantial  plied to the Syrian regime.
                         change in policy that does not support Coalition   The SDF has held control over the country’s
                         allies who fought and died to eliminate ISIS.”  largest oilfields, including Omar, the largest,
                           He added: “Depriving our allies of the oppor-  Ward, Kewari, Jafra, Jarnuf, Azrak, Kahar, Afra,
                         tunity for sanctions relief on critical infrastruc-  Sueytat and Galban. Omar had been producing
                         ture as laid out by the Obama administration  around 30,000 bpd prior to the Syrian Civil War,
                         would, in effect, turn the North and East of Syria  but was in the hands of Daesh from mid-2011
                         over to Russian, regime and Iranian forces.”  until October 2017.























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