Page 6 - NorthAmOil Week 38 2021
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NorthAmOil                                   COMMENTARY                                          NorthAmOil




       Canadian election heightens





       oil sector concerns






       The re-election of the Liberal Party has deepened
       the oil and gas sector’s uncertainty about the future




        CANADA           CANADA’S oil and gas industry is waiting to  Liberals projected to win just 158 of the 170 seats
                         see whether newly re-elected Prime Minister  they need for a majority.
                         Justin Trudeau will follow through on his pledge   The shortfall means the Liberals will have
       WHAT:             to set strict emissions reduction targets for the  to form a coalition and talks with former part-
       The Liberals had pledged   industry.                   ner New Democratic Party (NDP), which won
       to clamp down on the   Trudeau said on August 29, in the run-up  25 seats, are on the cards. NDP leader Jagmeet
       oil and gas sector’s   to the September 20 snap election, that his gov-  Singh, however, has also pledged to crack down
       emissions while removing   ernment would require the country’s oil and gas  on the energy sector. In the days leading up to the
       fossil fuel subsidies.  players to set five-year targets to cut their emis-  election he promised that an NDP government
                         sions, with the aim of reaching net-zero GHG  would identify and eliminate oil and gas subsi-
       WHY:              emissions by 2050. The programme would begin  dies in favour of funding the renewable energy
       Prime Minister Justin   in 2025.                       sector.
       Trudeau had been    The Liberal Party has also said it will require   Singh was highly critical of Trudeau before
       seeking a parliamentary   oil and gas companies to reduce methane emis-  the election, claiming that the prime minister
       majority, but his party fell   sions by at least 75% below 2012 levels by 2030.  has failed the country on many fronts. One such
       short.            Moreover, it wants to eliminate fossil-fuel subsi-  claimed failure is that Trudeau’s administration
                         dies within two years and has flagged up an end  has missed its emissions reduction targets, the
       WHAT NEXT:        to public financing for the sector.  politician adding: “Our plan is to fight this cli-
       The Liberals will have to   Talk of stricter rules for the energy industry  mate crisis like we really want to win it.”
       negotiate with the NDP  ,  comes at a time when oil and gas investors are   Since the election Singh has stood by his crit-
       which has criticised both   already looking to exit the Canadian oil patch  icism of Trudeau and has said he will demand
       Trudeau and the energy   after several challenging years. With divestments  more from the Liberals if they wish to form a
       sector.           picking up as oil trades around the $70 per mark,  coalition government with his party.
                         there is speculation that a jump to $90 per barrel   Given the pre-election rhetoric, the two sides’
                         could see a flood of such transactions.  shared stance on both oil and gas subsidies and
                                                              energy sector emissions suggests this may be one
                         Political pull                       of the easier areas for synergy.
                         Trudeau called the election after just two years   The Canadian energy sector – the world’s
                         in power in the hope his party could secure a  fourth-largest oil producer, with production hit-
                         majority. This is not to be, however, with the  ting 252.2mn tonnes (5.06mn barrels per day)





























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