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                                   Source: New Knowledge                111

                 This  has  not  changed  much  throughout  recorded  history.  It  is
              widely believed that scientific discoveries turn much faster in our day
              than ever before into technology, products, and processes. But this is
              largely  illusion.  Around  1250  the  Englishman  Roger  Bacon,  a
              Franciscan monk, showed that refraction defects of the eye could be
              corrected with eyeglasses. This was incompatible with what every-
              body then knew: the “infallible” authority of the Middle Ages Galen,
              the great medical scientist, had “proven conclusively” that it could
              not be done. Roger Bacon lived and worked on the extreme edges of
              the civilized world, in the wilds of northern Yorkshire. Yet a mural,
              painted thirty years later in the Palace of the Popes in Avignon (where
              it can still be seen), shows elderly cardinals wearing reading glasses;
              and ten years later, miniatures show elderly courtiers in the Sultan’s
              Palace in Cairo also in glasses. The mill race, which was the first true
              “automation,”  was  developed  to  grind  grain  by  the  Benedictine
              monks in northern Europe around the year 1000; within thirty years
              it had spread all over Europe. Gutenberg’s invention of movable type
              and the woodcut both followed within thirty years of the West’s learn-
              ing of Chinese printing.
                 The lead time for knowledge to become knowledge-based innova-
              tion seems to be inherent in the nature of knowledge. We do not know
              why. But perhaps it is not pure coincidence that the same lead time
              applies to new scientific theory. Thomas Kuhn, in his path-breaking
              book The Structure of Scientific Revolutions (1962), showed that it
              takes about thirty years before a new scientific theory becomes a new
              paradigm—a new statement that scientists pay attention to and use in
              their own work.



              CONVERGENCES

                 The second characteristic of knowledge-based innovations—and a
              truly unique one—is that they are almost never based on one factor
              but on the convergence of several different kinds of knowledge, not
              all of them scientific or technological.
                 Few  knowledge-based  innovations  in  this  century  have  benefited
              humanity more than the hybridization of seeds and livestock. It enables
              the  earth  to  feed  a  much  larger  population  than  anyone  would  have
              thought possible fifty years ago. The first successful new seed was hybrid
              corn.  It  was  produced  after  twenty  years  of  hard  work  by  Henry  C.
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