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Baligate and All the Gates 117



                   The contrast could not have been more striking between this presidential election
              and March 1998, when Suharto ran unopposed to win his seventh term in a unani-
              mous vote by a Golkar-led legislature. In only eighteen months, the election of the
              Indonesian president had swung from a ceremonial exercise yielding predetermined
              outcomes to a highly competitive contest impossible to call right up to the moment
              of the vote.
                   At the same time, as Wahid settled into the presidency, one could argue that the
              bizarre frenzy of horse-trading that wrested the position from Megawati, a popu-
              lar opposition leader and the daughter of a revered former president, was an even
              greater distortion of the voters’ intent, as expressed in the June ballot, than a Habi-
              bie win would have been. Golkar had at least placed second, in a forty-eight-party
              contest, claiming 22 percent of the popular vote. Wahid’s PKB had earned only 10
              percent.
                   From a populist perspective, the victory of a small minority party in a series of
              backroom deals may seem a shallow triumph for Indonesia’s  reformasi  movement. Yet
              whatever one might say about Wahid’s closed-door maneuvering, the process that
              ended with his victory was not predetermined. If we return to Przeworski’s uncer-
              tainty frame, this development becomes critical. More broadly, the substitution of
              Golkar’s rigged outcomes with an open-ended parliamentary contest that led to the
              election of a long-shot opposition leader represented, on balance, significant progress
              in Indonesia’s transition.


                Dynamics of Scandal
                   The key development that derailed Golkar’s manipulation and made this out-
              come possible was public disclosure of the party’s campaign fi nance fraud. Yet rev-
              elations of embezzlement alone were not what made the ensuing Baligate scandal
              signifi cant. The country had already been alerted to widespread electoral malfeasance
              by  Tempo ’s June 1999 exposé of systematic fraud in Golkar’s campaign on the island
              of Sulawesi.
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                   In both cases, through disclosure of fraud, the media were playing the watch-
              dog role arguably central to their function in supporting democratization, imposing
              transparency on the electoral process and forcing accountability on the nation’s lead-
              ers.  Tempo ’s report, for example, pressured the Central Election Supervising Com-
              mittee (Panwaspus) to recommend legal action against Golkar.    But while some
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              outlets reported this development, none conducted their own follow-up investiga-
              tions.    Consequently, few reported the Sulawesi fraud, and little came of the case. In
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              short,  Tempo ’s revelations, though authoritative, eye-opening, and damning, did not
              garner the widening attention necessary to produce a “scandal,” a phenomenon that,
              by definition, involves “causing general public outrage.”    By contrast, the Baligate
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              revelations set in motion a media “feeding frenzy,” that is, a sudden barrage of non-
              proprietary follow-up coverage whose sum was a  grande scandale d’État  that, in the end,
              brought down the president.
                   Explanation for the different trajectories of the stories lies in key distinctions
              between the potential of the two journalistic  genres employed—the investiga-
              tive report and the insider leak—to produce political scandal. Unlike  Tempo ’s well-
              researched probe into election fraud in Sulawesi, it was not investigative reporting
              that launched Baligate, but instead documents leaked to a financial analyst, Pradjoto,
              by an inside source—most likely Golkar’s own deputy chair.
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