Page 18 - Gi flipbook - October 2018
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Industry investment gears to gas



                 average 2.5 per cent per annum
                 increase in seaborne LNG trade from   FIGURE 3 Coping with changes to the gas mix
                 now to 2050. Many countries are
                 building facilities to import LNG. In   Extent to which repondents think onshore pipeline projects currently in development are adaptable
                 2005, only 15 imported it; that number   enough to cope with potential long-term changes in the gas mix (eg. greater variety of calorific values,
                 has more than tripled since.     hydrogen and biogas).
                   In a lesson from history, companies
                 that anticipated the demand for LNG,
                 and acted on it, now outcompete rivals
                 in the world’s fastest-growing energy
                 segment. “If we hadn’t taken a long-
                 term view, we’d never have got into the
                 LNG business, which took decades to
                 get to the scale it is today,” said Mark
                 Gainsborough, Executive Vice President
                 – New Energies at Shell, in an interview
                 for DNV GL’s 2018 Industry Outlook
                 research. “I suspect it will be the same
                 with the opportunities in the new
                 energy space.”
                 GAS DISTRIBUTION NETWORKS
                 PROMOTING NEW
                 DECARBONISED SOLUTIONS
                 Gas distribution networks, such as those
                 operated in the UK, the US, and the
                 Netherlands, need to demonstrate that
                 their infrastructure can play a key role in
                 the decarbonisation of energy, and are
                 actively developing solutions. Carbon-
                 neutral gas will be crucial to this
                 objective. It will drive changes including
                 the introduction into piped gas of a
                 wider range of gas sources, such as the
                 use of hydrogen and biogas.
                   For example, UK gas network
                 operator Northern Gas Networks has
                 launched a project to explore the
                 feasibility of converting the gas grid
                 for large cities such as Leeds from
                 natural gas to zero-carbon hydrogen1.
                 DNV GL is a primary partner in this
                 initiative, which will demonstrate   shifting energy mix stand a strong
                 hydrogen’s potential to help the UK   chance of success through the three
                 meet its 2050 climate change     decades of significant change ahead.
                 obligations while also using existing   As the energy transition unfolds, it
                 gas network infrastructure.      is important not to lose sight of the
                   DNV GL’s research indicates that   sector’s responsibility to address the
                 nearly a quarter (24 per cent) of   energy trilemma: how to provide a
                 senior oil and gas professionals believe  secure supply of sustainable and
                 that onshore pipeline projects   affordable energy. As an energy
                 currently in development are     carrier, gas is cheaper, and more
                 adaptable enough to cope with    flexible than electricity, and we should
                 potential long-term changes in the gas   maximise its benefits, while managing
                 mix, while 13 per cent disagree. Figure   its carbon impact. ■
                 3 shows a marked difference of
                 opinion regionally.              ■ Download a complimentary copy
                                                  of DNV GL’s 2018 Energy Transition
                 LONG-TERM VIEW                   Outlook at eto.dnvgl.com/2018
                 DNV GL’s research clearly shows that
                 companies see a strong role for gas in   REFERENCES: 1. www.dnvgl.com/news/dnv-gl-  DNV GL’s 2018 Energy Transition Outlook
                 the energy transition. Those who are   primary-project-partner-in-northern-gas-networks-  is an independent forecast of the world
                 actively planning and investing in the   led-hydrogen-network-innovation-project-113691  energy mix in the lead-up to 2050






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        EnergyTransitionDNVGL.indd   3                                                                            20/09/2018   13:12
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