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                                                                                                           LOCAL Friday 30 december 2022































            Part 2

            The CBA raised the reserve requirement by 1.0 percentage point

            as of December 1, 2022



            Oranjestad - In line with the                                                                                       Commercial  bank  excess
            Monetary  Policy  Commit-                                                                                           liquidity
            tee’s  (MPC)  task  to  evalu-                                                                                      Aggregated  excess  liquid-
            ate,  determine,  and  pro-                                                                                         ity fell from Afl. 1,320.5 mil-
            vide  transparency  on  the                                                                                         lion  in  December  2021  to
            monetary policy actions of                                                                                          Afl. 791.7 million in Septem-
            the  Central  Bank  of  Aruba                                                                                       ber  2022  (Graph  3).  This
            (CBA),  the  CBA  communi-                                                                                          drop was principally due to
            cates the following.                                                                                                the consecutive hikes in the
                                                                                                                                reserve  requirement  from
            During  its  meeting  on  No-                                                                                       January  2022  to  July  2022.
            vember 22, 2022, the MPC                                                                                            In  September  2022,  excess
            decided to increase the re-                                                                                         liquidity  contracted  fur-
            serve requirement from 24.0                                                                                         ther, albeit at a decreasing
            percent  to  25.0  percent                                                                                          pace.  Furthermore, excess
            as  of  December  1,  2022.                                                                                         liquidity  remained  above
            Accordingly,  commercial     age  points  contribution),  the elevated oil price on in-  2022,  core  inflation  (ex-  the  pre-pandemic  level  of
            banks must hold a minimum    and the ‘food’ component  ternational markets, as well  cluding  energy  and  food)    February  2020  (+Afl.  102.6
            balance at the CBA equal     rose (1.2 percentage points  as the recent hikes in utility  reached  2.4  percent  on  a   million)  as  well  as  the  lev-
            to 25.0 percent of their cli-  contribution).             tariffs. Furthermore, the ex-  year-over-year  basis,  driv-  els  of  liquidity  needed  for
            ents’  short-term  deposits.                              pectation is that Aruba will  en mainly by the ‘transport’   precautionary motives. The
            The decision to expand the   The  12-month  average  in-  import much of the soaring  component  (1.2  percent-     heightened level of excess
            reserve requirement to 25.0   flation  amounted  to  4.7  prices  from  its  export  part-  age  points  contribution).   liquidity likely resulted from
            percent was based mainly     percent.  The  CBA  antici-  ners, particularly the United  On  a  twelve-month  aver-  the subdued credit expan-
            on the diminished pace of    pates  increasing  inflation-  States and Europe.         age  basis,  core  inflation   sion  and  the  recovery  in
            decline  in  the  commercial   ary  pressures  for  the  re-                           amounted to 2.0 percent.     the tourism sector.q
            banks’  excess  liquidity,  as   mainder  of  2022,  due  to  Meanwhile,  in  September
            well as the still ample level
            of  excess  liquidity  at  the
            commercial  banks,  which
            persists well above the pre-
            pandemic and precaution-
            ary levels.

            Inflation
            In  September  2022,  the
            consumer price index (CPI)
            rose  by  7.0  percent  com-
            pared  to  the  same  month
            of the previous year (Graph
            2).  This  jump  in  the  CPI
            was  caused  by  higher  util-
            ity  prices,  which  affected
            the  ‘housing’  component
            (2.9   percentage    points
            contribution).   Moreover,
            gasoline  prices,  mainly  in-
            fluencing  the  ‘transport’
            component  (1.6  percent-
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